The UK market for commercial glazing is estimated to be worth
around £2.9 billion in 2008, with the development of the
market illustrated in the chart left. Within the context of
this report, the UK commercial glazing market is defined as
comprising 4 sub-sectors - commercial windows, ground floor
treatments, curtain walling and roof glazing, The commercial
window sector is the largest, estimated to account for over
50% of the commercial glazing market. Curtain walling
(including frameless structural glazing) accounts for
approximately 18% of the market by value, with aluminium
framed systems dominant. Demand for ground floor treatments (shopfronts
and entrance systems) - which account for around 23% of the
market by value – has been severely impacted by the recession
in the retail and office newbuild sectors. Roof glazing is the
smallest sector, accounting for an estimated 7% share of the
market.
In general terms, demand for commercial glazing
systems is largely determined by activity levels in commercial
office, education, retail and high-rise residential newbuild.
Buoyant construction activity in these sectors in recent years
have underpinned strong growth in output in the commercial
glazing industry over the 2005-08 period in particular. Other
factors contributing towards growth in this period include;
increases in the prices of primary aluminium and glass, and
specification of added-value products such as low-emissivity
glass, driven by requirements of Part L of the Building
Regulations
Although orders for new work have been in sharp
decline since mid-2008, the severity of the impact of the
downturn on demand for commercial glazing will lag behind the
general trend in the construction sector as there are major
installations on office and mixed use developments in London,
Manchester, Glasgow etc, that are not scheduled for completion
until the second half of 2009. From 2010, education and
healthcare developments will, to some extent mitigate the impact
of the recession in the commercial sector, but after 2011 demand
is expected to decline due to the pressures on Government
spending. Whatever the outcome of the 2010 General Election,
public sector expenditure will inevitably be curbed, including
Government investment on infrastructure projects, schools and
hospitals.
There is a consensus among trade and professional
organisations across the construction industry that conditions in
the commercial sector are unlikely to start improving until 2011
at the earliest. As glazing systems are installed after the
completion of the shell and core elements, there is likely to be
a lag of at least a year, following a significant upturn in new
orders, until demand shows a general improvement. Therefore, we
would not expect to see a return to growth in the commercial
glazing market until 2012.
The fabrication/installation industry is highly
fragmented due to low barriers to entry and no significant
economies of scale. However, since 2003 several large contractors
and many smaller concerns have ceased trading and some
consolidation over the next 3 years is inevitable as the
competition for the declining number of projects increases,
resulting in falling tender prices and weakening margins.
In general terms, demand for commercial glazing
systems is largely determined by activity levels in commercial
office, education, retail and high-rise residential newbuild.
Buoyant trading conditions in these sectors in recent years have
underpinned strong growth in output in the commercial glazing
industry. Up until mid 2008, other factors contributing towards
growth included; increases in the prices of primary aluminium and
glass and specification of added-value products such as low-emissivity
glass, driven by requirements of Part L of the Building
Regulations
Although orders for new work have been in sharp
decline since mid-2008, the severity of the impact of the
downturn on demand for commercial glazing will lag behind the
general trend in the construction sector as there are major
installations on office and mixed use developments in London,
Manchester and Glasgow that are not scheduled for completion
until the second half of 2009. From 2010, education and
healthcare developments will, to some extent mitigate the impact
of the recession in the commercial sector, but after 2011 demand
is expected to decline due to the pressures on Government
spending. Whatever the outcome of the 2010 General Election,
public sector expenditure will be curbed, including Government
investment on infrastructure projects including schools and
hospitals.
There is a consensus
among trade and professional organisations across the
construction industry that conditions in the commercial sector
are unlikely to start improving until 2011 at the earliest. As
glazing systems are installed after the completion of the shell
and core elements, there is likely to be a lag of at least a
year, following a significant upturn in new orders, until demand
shows a general improvement. Therefore, we would not expect to
see a return to growth in the commercial glazing market until
late 2012. The general industrial products distribution market is
a highly fragmented sector valued at £1.75 billion within the
report definition. Distributor involvement varies significantly,
with some distributors operating in all product sectors defined
in the report, whilst others focus on a more limited number of
product sectors.