
The declining housing market and the effects of
the credit crunch affected demand for all damp proof products in
2008/09. As a result, the market for damp proof courses and
membranes (excluding roofing applications) is estimated to have
fallen below £70m in 2009, though prospects for recovery in the
medium term remain optimistic as housebuilding activity begins to
pick up
Housebuilding volumes have declined by over 40%
in the 2008-09 period, though have shown some signs of recovery
since mid-2009 as prices and consumer confidence have slowly
improved. However, an increasing proportion of domestic
completions are flats and apartments, which has led to a decline
in the volume of DPC (Damp Proof Course) and DPM (Damp Proof
Membranes) in the new housing sector.
Up to 2007, the switch to flats had been offset
to some extent by growth in Housing RMI and a much more buoyant
non-residential construction market. Housing RMI is showing some
signs of recovery, reflecting low interest rates and a switch to
‘improve rather than move.
The non-housing sector performed better than
housing in 2008, with performance underpinned by above average
growth in key sectors such as education, health, offices and
retail. However, order levels dropped in 2008 due to the volatile
economic climate, falling business confidence and a lack of
available finance – which fed into construction activity in 2009,
with sectors such as offices and retail falling rapidly, which had
experienced large levels of speculative building and where there
are currently substantial levels of available office space to let
However, this has been partially offset by
sectors such as Education and health which have remained buoyant
due to government spending commitments – though these are likely
to se cutbacks from 2011 onwards.
The future of the damp proof products market
depends on a number of factors in both the domestic and
non-domestic sectors. For example, the continuing shortage of land
will mean that more development will be on contaminated sites in
the future with a consequent requirement to protect health and
safety through the use of higher specification membranes to
provide a barrier against harmful gases. In addition,
Environmental and energy efficiency concerns are influencing the
specification of damp proof products, with an increasing volume
now manufactured from recycled materials.
The new build construction market is a major
driver of damp proof products market performance. Indicators from
this sector suggest that we are unlikely to see significant
recovery in the market until 2011. However, housebuilding is
likely to see earlier signs of recovery than commercial sectors,
though growth rates will be gradual as major developers slowly
recover confidence, with non-residential unlikely to offer major
growth prospects over the next 3 years.