The new housing market represents a major
application area for windows, entrance and patio door systems.
Throughout the 1990’s, housebuilders witnessed major changes, not only
in the structure of the housebuilding market, but also in the types of
frame materials used for window and door applications. 2000-02 was a
flat period for the sector, but 2003-04 have proved more buoyant, though
growth has been extremely modest given the general demand and underlying
strength of the housing market.
Traditionally, the new housebuilding sector
has always been volatile, with levels of housing starts and completions
affected by the general level of economic and consumer confidence.
Latest official figures show that the number
of new house completions in Great Britain rose by 3% during 2003 to
reach 175,000 and a further 4% in 2004 to around 185,000, with the
private housing sector dominant. A key trend over recent years has been
the rapid switch to apartments which, in 2004, are estimated to account
for over 40% of housing starts in the UK.
Current forecasts are that completions will
continue to increase by around 5-7% per annum between 2005 - 08,
particularly following recommendations of the Barker report, though
there are major changes emerging in terms of construction trends.
Factors such as the limited availability and the increasing price of
land, lengthy planning approvals process and increasing focus on RMI
(repair, maintenance and improvement), are all likely to impact on the
overall completions level, while trends to MMC/OSM (Modern methods of
construction and Offsite Manufacturing) will impact heavily on the
construction process.
Government emphasis on MMC is resulting in a
significant trend towards pre-fabricated housing (timber/steel frame
etc.) which is initially impacting on social housing, but will
inevitably feed into private sector housing – timber frame housing
already accounts for 15% of completions in the UK in 2004, and rising
strongly.
During 2004, the number of registered
housebuilders was recorded at approximately 20,000. The increasing
concentration of the housebuilders market has continued during 2001-2004
with a greater proportion of companies now building in excess of 2000
houses per year.
In 2004, the top 20 national housebuilders
accounted for just over 48% of total new housing completions. The
leading national housebuilders are Barratt Developments, George
Wimpey and Persimmon, which together accounted for an
estimated 23% of the market in terms of completions. In recent years,
the industry has lost a considerable number of smaller housebuilders as
a result of mergers, takeovers and acquisitions. For example George
Wimpey’s acquisition of Laing Homes, Taylor Woodrow
acquired Wilson Connolly and Bryant Homes etc.
Throughout the past 15 years, there have been
some areas of considerable change within the new build windows and doors
market. PVCu’s share of material usage rose dramatically, while
aluminium has also increased within the last few years, but on a much
smaller scale than PVCu and primarily in large-scale, waterfront-type
developments. The share of PVCu and aluminium has been primarily at the
expense of timber windows and door.
In terms of entrance doors, steel/composites
continue to dominate the market accounting for an estimated 79% share of
the sector by volume. The share gain by steel/composites has been at
the expense of timber which now only accounts for just 7% of the sector,
being primarily in the higher value, or conservation sectors. Since the
previous edition of this report in 2001, PVCu has declined currently
accounting for just 4% of the sector - its limited aesthetic appeal not
being widely accepted by housebuilders.
In 2004/5, housebuilders continue to install
a patio door in around 65% of their homes. The number of patio doors
being installed in new build homes has declined slightly due to the
increase in flats currently being built, compared to a few years ago. In
the lower cost housing sector, patio doors are increasingly being used
as the main rear entrance to the house instead of installing a back
entrance door. In 2004, approximately 88% of all patio doors installed
were French style with just 12% being sliding doors. French doors have
dominated the market now for over 15 years and will continue to do so in
response to consumer demand for a more traditional style.
Current estimates indicate that conservatory
installations in new build homes account for 1% of overall completions
(approximately 2-3,000 units). Housebuilders are experiencing growing
pressure to increase housing densities which inevitably restricts the
available space for gardens, which in turn affects the amount of space
available for conservatories. Due to these factors, the growth rate for
conservatories within the new build sector is expected to be extremely
low.
The widespread use of national and regional
purchase agreements meant that the majority of housebuilders now buy
window and door systems direct from the manufacturer, mostly on a
"supply and fit" basis. This trend is likely to continue as
housebuilders continue to gain economies of scale from larger orders.
Additional benefits, accruing from reduced costs in terms of logistics
and directly employed "on-site" labour, also indicate national and
regional purchase agreements will continue into the medium term future.
In terms of specification, indications are that there is an increasing
trend for the decision regarding the technical and brand specification
of windows, doors and roofline products to be taken at head office /
group level, albeit with input from regional offices. This is mainly due
to increasingly onerous legislative and product standards, with the
emphasis placed upon the housebuilders to ensure compliance.
The overall prospects of windows, doors and
roofline products within the new housebuilding sector are good with the
market forecast to experience moderate growth of around 12% over the
next four years. The short-term future for the housebuilders market
appears to be positive with relatively high levels of growth forecast
through until 2008, with housing completions expected to increase to
235,000 in 2008. The counterbalance to this projected growth in housing
completions is the rapid switch to apartments from detached housing,
which obviously require a lower number of windows per dwelling.
List
of Companies Mentioned
Persimmon, George Wimpey, Barratt Developments, Beazer, Bryant,
Taylor, Woodrow, Wilson Connolly, Wainhomes, Alfred McAlpine Homes,
Redrow, Tay Homes, Wilson Bowden, Bellway, Bovis Homes, Berkeley,
Countryside Properties, Miller, J S Bloor, McCarthy & Stone, Crest
Nicholson, Fairclough, John Laing, Prowting, Fairview, Walker Homes,
Torwood Homes, John Mowlem Homes, Charles Church, McAlpine Homes,
Greenham Trading, Greenham Construction, Prestoplan Purpose Built Ltd,
Westbury plc, Larke Homes, John Maunders, Tay Homes plc, Manor Kingdom
Developments, Thames Water plc, Thirlstone Group Ltd, Miller Group Ltd, J
S Bloor Holdings Ltd, McCarthy & Stone plc, Crest Nicholson plc,
Fairclough Homes Ltd, AMEC plc, Centex Development Company UK Ltd, Centex
Corporation USA, General London Constructors Ltd, Hillsdown Holdings,
Fairview Holdings plc, Prowting plc, John Laing plc, Octagon Developments
Ltd, Beechcroft plc, Tay Homes plc, Galliford Try plc Stamford Homes,
Midas Homes, A & J Stephen (Holdings) Ltd, Ben Bailey plc, Bett
Brothers plc, Bewley Homes plc, Bowey Homes Ltd, Cala Group Ltd,
Chartdale Ltd, Connolly Homes plc, Connolly Holdings plc, Croudace Ltd,
David McLean Homes Ltd, David Payne Homes Ltd, Elite Homes Group, Furlong
Homes Ltd, Goldcrest Homes plc, Haslam Homes Ltd, Henry Boot Homes,
Hopkins Homes Ltd, Kendrick Homes Ltd, Kier Group plc, Allison Homes,
Swallow Homes Ltd, Linden Group, McTaggart & Mickel, M J Gleeson
Group plc, Morgan Sindall plc, Lovell Partnership, Wheatley Construction,
Morris Group Ltd, AWG plc, Norfolk Homes, Dacerell Ltd, Pelham Homes Ltd,
Rialto Homes plc, Scotia Homes, Shepherd Homes Ltd, Longden Homes,
Sheperd Building Group, Swan Hill Homes Ltd, Swallow Homes Ltd, Spread
Trustee Company Ltd, Telford Homes, Strata, Weaver Homes Ltd, Wates Homes
Ltd, Wates Group, Yuill Group Ltd, Cecil M Yuill Ltd, Speedframe, Anglian
Building Products, Anglian Windows Ltd.