A
number of factors influence the overall kitchen furniture market
including the levels of consumer confidence, consumer spending and the
amount of activity in the new house building and RMI sectors. In 2004,
the overall kitchen furniture market in the Republic of Ireland,
including worktops and sinks, was estimated to be worth around €633
million at manufacturers selling prices, with good prospects for growth
over the next 3-4 years.
In
terms of individual product sectors, the kitchen units and
cupboards sector dominates industry sales in Ireland with an estimated
89% of the total kitchens market in terms of value - worth around €563m
in 2004. The worktops sector was estimated to have around 7% of the
Irish kitchens market and be worth around €42m in 2004 and kitchen
sinks 4% of the market and worth around €25m.
The
fitted kitchen sector has been "standard" for a number
of years and accounts for the major share of the kitchen market at
around 88% by value. Fitted kitchen furniture, together with associated
lower costs, is also usually the preferred option of most house builders
and developers for the house building market, which remains a
significant factor underpinning growth in the fitted sector.
In
Ireland, with the construction of smaller new builds and apartments,
space is often at a premium and a fitted kitchen provides the best
utilisation of space. Key issues of space and storage are likely to
continue to support growth in the fitted sector in the longer term.
Leading manufacturers of fitted kitchen furniture in Ireland
include Brendan Butler Fitted Furniture in County Cork, Cliffoney
Kitchens in County Sligo and Fitzsimons Fitted Kitchens in
County Meath.
The
non-fitted or free standing kitchen furniture sector
currently accounts for only a small part of the overall kitchens market
in Ireland, but growth rates have begun to accelerate in recent years as
more home-owners are opting for free-standing hand-crafted, country
style designs. Free standing units, rather than a fitted kitchen, are
becoming more popular at the mid-premium end of the market. Many
retailers have reported a growing trend towards free-standing kitchen
furniture over the last couple of years and it is now estimated that
this sector accounts for around 10-15% of the overall kitchen furniture
market in the Republic.
An
estimated 40% share of the Irish kitchen furniture market is comprised
of flat pack models, with the remaining 60% rigid. At the
mid-premium end of the market, rigid furniture continues to predominate,
with many independent kitchen specialists producing handcrafted ranges.
Builders Merchants and retail specialists also primarily supply rigid
kitchens into the new housing market, for ease of installation, and this
sector has benefited from the increase in new housing completions in the
Republic in recent years. As a result, the share taken by flat pack is
much lower in Ireland than the UK reflecting the high share in new
housing.
During
2004, the new build sector for kitchen furniture was estimated to
be worth €281 million at manufacturers selling prices and
approximately 44% of the overall total kitchen furniture market. This
share can be attributed to the increased level of new build completions
and the general shift to better quality and slightly higher value
kitchens fitted in new build homes.
Key
drivers for the new build kitchens market include the current high
levels of new housing completions, the higher specification
of kitchens now being used by house builders both to add value and in
response to consumer demand, the gradual decline in the use of formal
dining rooms and a trend towards multi-purpose kitchen/dining areas
in new build homes.
It
is unlikely, however, that the current levels of new housing output in
the Irish Republic can be sustained in the medium-term, and lower levels
of housing supply forecast over the next couple of years will lead to a
decrease in residential construction output and a gradual easing back of
housing developments towards more sustainable levels of around
65,000-70,000 completions per year from 2006 onwards.
The
replacement market for kitchens in Ireland is estimated at 56%
and around €352m by value. It is estimated that whilst the average
life-span of a domestic kitchen is normally around 15 years, the
relatively recent age of most housing stock in Ireland results in a low
replacement cycle to date. Around 44% of homes in Ireland have been
built since 1981, which is reflected in the much lower replacement
market share compared to the UK, for example.
One
of the most significant factors driving growth in the replacement
kitchens market is the current high level of house building, which has
been taking place over the last 10 years, rising at an annual rate of
between 5 and 25%. Such a high rate of new residential construction is
now starting to feed through into the replacement kitchens market and is
likely to impact favourably on the renovation sector as those properties
dated 10-years plus now gegin to feed through into first-time
replacements, a trend which is likely to continue whilst house-building
levels are high.
The
replacement market for kitchens has also been driven by relatively high
levels of consumer confidence in recent years with consumer spending
forecast to grow by 5.5% in 2005, the rise in popularity of home
improvement programmes, a growth in consumer credit and rising house
prices leading to more consumers using the equity in their homes to fund
improvements. Furthermore, the maturity of Special Savings Investment
Accounts (SSIAs) in 2006 will see the release of an estimated €6
billion of consumer funds into the economy, with many consumers using
this money to remodel their homes with new kitchens.
Imported
kitchen furniture (including cabinets and worktops, but not tables and
chairs) was estimated to be worth around €23m during 2004 with exports
worth around half the value of imports, accounting for just €2.6m
in 2004.
Offsite
manufacturing techniques in the Irish housing
market have now risen significantly from just 2% of the total housing
construction market to 16% over the past 10 years. The Kitchen
Pod is already a growth market in Ireland and a number of
house builders, including John Paul Construction, P J Hegarty and
Pierse Contracting are now using pre-fabricated construction to
install kitchens in apartments and smaller housing projects. Leading
suppliers to the Irish kitchen pod market include Delta Off-Site
Solutions, Fusion Building Systems, Polypod Ltd and
Qpods Ireland.
The
kitchen market in the Irish Republic is intensely competitive, driven by
increased consumer interest in the kitchen as the central room in the
home, a buoyant domestic refurbishment market and a high level of
residential housing completions. The kitchen manufacturing sector is
less structured than the UK market and is well served in all price
brackets by a larger number of regional specialist independents, which
are estimated to account for around 85-90% of the replacement market,
with UK and continental suppliers such as Hygena/Schreiber, Second
Nature Kitchens, Poggenpohl, ALNO, Bulthaup and SieMatic
all of whom have appointed Irish agents accounting for the remaining
10-15%.
Leading
Irish kitchen manufacturers include Nolan Kitchens, Fitzsimons,
Craftsman Furniture, Cliffoney Kitchens, Glenline Fitted Furniture,
Shannonside Kitchens and Stylewood Kitchens.
In
terms of distribution, the Irish kitchen furniture market is
dominated by the independent retail specialists with around 50% market
share, which have proved to be the most significant channel for the
distribution of Irish and overseas produced kitchens. There are
estimated to be around 250-300 kitchen retailers in the Republic of
Ireland and the majority of businesses are single unit outlets, with the
exception of H-Line Kitchens, Houseworks and McNally Kitchens.
Furthermore, the presence of foreign multiples such as Habitat
have also boosted the distribution of kitchen furniture in the retail
sector, and this is likely to be further strengthened if IKEA
gain planning permission for its first store in the Republic.
The
DIY sector is estimated to account for around 30% of kitchen
furniture distribution in Ireland and has grown in recent years as a
result of a buoyant house moving market and the kitchen replacement
market. In addition, the wider availability of kitchens in all price
ranges through the DIY sector has also supported growth. Leading DIY
outlets include Homebase, B&Q, In-house at the Panelling Centre
and B&G.
Builders’
merchants are less of an important source of
kitchen furniture for both domestic and commercial purposes than they
are for bathroom and sanitary ware products, being key suppliers to the
house building sector. This channel of distribution for kitchen
furniture is estimated to account for around 15%, with leading merchants
including Grafton Group Plc, Wolseley Plc, Noyeks Newmans and Dublin
Plywood & Veneer
The
‘others’ sector, including mail order, catalogue sales and direct
supply from the manufacturer accounts for around 5% of the market in
terms of distribution. The ‘others’ channels also includes the
catalogue retailers such as Argos and online distributors of
kitchen furniture such as Italian Kitchens Direct, one of Ireland’s
leading distributors of high quality, handmade kitchens from Italy.
It
is forecast that the overall kitchen market will continue to grow at a
reasonably stable level in 2005 and 2006 at 4% per annum, and then by
around 3% until 2009 to reach €749 million. The kitchen furniture
market, as with most consumer durables, is highly responsive to
fluctuations in the economic climate with consumer spending levels and
confidence susceptible to interest rate rises and fluctuations in the
economy.
A
rise in earnings growth and consumer spending, low inflation and low
interest rates will all impact favorably on the kitchen market over the
next few years. However, with the current level of new build housing
completions thought to be unsustainable in the medium term, lower
forecasts for the residential construction over the next 4 years will
impact upon the new build kitchens sector. Lower levels of house price
inflation and potential interest rate rises may have a negative
influence on both the new build and RMI sectors in the medium-term, and,
together with the threat to low-mid skill jobs, largely in manufacturing
and many firms transferring production overseas, these factors are
likely to have a restraining effect on growth in the kitchen furniture
market.