| 1. |
INTRODUCTION |
6 |
| 2. | SUMMARY |
7 |
| 3. | ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT |
10 |
| 3.1 | GDP |
10 |
| 3.2 | INFLATION & INTEREST RATES |
11 |
| 3.3 | UNEMPLOYMENT |
12 |
| 3.4 | HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION |
13 |
| 3.5 | HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION |
14 |
| 3.6 | STERLING |
15 |
| 3.7 | POPULATION PROFILE |
16 |
| 3.8 | CONCLUSIONS |
18 |
| 4. | MARKET BACKGROUND |
19 |
| 4.1 | TRADITIONAL AND MODERN METHODS OF HOUSEBUILDING |
19 |
| 4.1.1 | Background |
19 |
| 4.1.2 | Affordable Homes and Modern Methods of Construction (MMC) |
19 |
| 4.1.3 | Market definition |
21 |
| 4.2 | UK MARKET OVERVIEW - OSM |
25 |
| 5. | TIMBER FRAME HOUSING |
28 |
| 5.1 | MARKET DEFINITION |
28 |
| 5.2 | INTERNATIONAL MARKET OVERVIEW |
28 |
| 5.3 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING MARKET |
29 |
| 5.4 | SECTOR OVERVIEW |
34 |
| 5.4.1 | Private and Public Sectors |
35 |
| 5.4.2 | The National Affordable Housing Programme |
39 |
| 5.4.3. | Supply Chain |
42 |
| 5.5 | TIMBER FRAME BY COUNTRY AND REGION |
43 |
| 5.5.1 | England by Region |
44 |
| 5.5.2 | House Types |
45 |
| 6. | SELF-BUILD MARKET |
47 |
| 6.1 | INTRODUCTION |
47 |
| 6.2 | MARKET VOLUME/VALUE |
49 |
| 7. | MARKET FORECASTS |
52 |
| 7.1 | VOLUME FORECASTS |
52 |
| 7.2 | FACTORS INFLUENCING TRENDS |
56 |
| 8. | TIMBER FRAME SUPPLIERS |
58 |
| 8.1 | SUPPLY STRUCTURE |
58 |
| 8.2 | DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE |
66 |
| 9. | KEY BUYING AND SPECIFICATION ISSUES |
69 |
| 9.1 | SELF BUILD |
69 |
| 9.2 | OFF SITE MANUFACTURE |
70 |
| 9.3 | PARTNERING |
71 |
| 9.4 | SUPPLY CHAIN PROCESS |
72 |
| 10. |
FUTURE PROSPECTS |
74 |
| 10.1 | SELF BUILD |
74 |
| 10.2 | OFF SITE MANUFACTURE OF TIMBER FRAME |
76 |
|
TABLES AND CHARTS
|
| CHART 1 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING - BY COUNTRY 1995-2005 BY VOLUME |
7 |
| CHART 2 | INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1990-2008 |
12 |
| CHART 3 | PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1990-2006 |
14 |
| TABLE 4 | EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 1997-2007 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES |
16 |
| CHART 5 | AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 2001 (000) |
17 |
| CHART 6 | UK HOUSEBUILDING MARKET VOLUME BY TRADITIONAL/MMC - 2005 |
26 |
| CHART 7: | TIMBER FRAME AS A
% OF NEW HOUSING IN KEY COUNTRIES | 29 |
| TABLE 8 | UK HOUSEBUILDING STARTS 1995-2005 BY SECTOR |
30 |
| TABLE 9 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING STARTS 1995-2005 |
31 |
| TABLE 10 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING STARTS & MARKET SHARE BY COUNTRY AND BY VOLUME 1995-2005 |
32 |
| CHART 11 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING BY COUNTRY 1995-2005 BY VOLUME |
33 |
| CHART 12 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING STARTS 2005 BY SECTOR AND BY VOLUME |
34 |
| TABLE 13 | UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING STARTS (EXCLUDING SELF BUILD) 2000-2005 |
35 |
| CHART 14 | COST COMPARISONS OF CONSTRUCTION METHODS AND MATERIALS |
37 |
| CHART 15 | FUNDING AND PLANNING PROCESS FOR AFFORDABLE HOMES |
41 |
| CHART 16 | TIMBER FRAME CONSTRUCTION SHARE BY COUNTRY BY VOLUME 2005 |
43 |
| CHART 17 | MARKET SHARE OF TIMBER FRAME HOUSING WITHIN THE ENGLISH REGIONS - 2005 |
45 |
| TABLE 18 | TIMBER FRAME VOLUME BY HOUSE TYPE ENGLAND 2000-05 |
46 |
| CHART 19 | NEW HOUSING STARTS PRIVATE/SOCIAL/SELF BUILD 2005 BY VOLUME |
48 |
| CHART 20 | SELF-BUILD MARKET BY VOLUME 2000-2010 |
49 |
| CHART 21 | SELF BUILD HOUSING MARKET - BY VALUE 2000-2010 |
50 |
| TABLE 22 | TIMBER HOUSING FORECASTS UK 2005-2010 BY VOLUME |
53 |
| CHART 23 | TIMBER FRAME HOUSING FORECAST (EXCLUDING SELF BUILD) 2006-2010 - ENGLAND |
55 |
| TABLE 24 | MAJOR TIMBER FRAME SUPPLIERS MARKET SHARES HOUSING SECTOR UK 2005 |
59 |
| CHART 25 | DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE TIMBER FRAME HOUSING |
67 |
| CHART 26 | THE SOCIAL HOUSING SECTOR SUPPLY CHAIN PROCESS |
73 |
| TABLE 27 | KEY INFLUENCES AFFECTING FUTURE PROSPECTS OF SELF BUILD TIMBER FRAME HOUSES |
75 |
| TABLE 28 | KEY INFLUENCES AFFECTING FUTURE PROSPECTS OF OFF SITE MANUFACTURED TIMBER FRAME HOUSES |
78 |
| APPENDIX 1 |
SURPLUS PUBLIC SECTOR LAND FOR SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITIES |
81 |
