
In 2009, the wood
flooring sector (solid wood, engineered wood and laminates),
accounted for around 16%, in value terms, of the total UK
floorcoverings sector, itself estimated to be worth around £2
billion in 2009.
Wood & laminate
floorcoverings have also experienced a significant fall in demand
since 2007 - the value of the market declining by around 20% in
the 2008 /2009 period, to just over £300m at manufacturers prices.
Sales at the lower
end of the market have been particularly hard hit, with suppliers
throughout the supply chain also affected by significant price
pressures. The premium/upper end of the market has experienced
slightly better, with higher specification of value-added
laminates and engineered wood helping to offset some of the value
decline.
The past two years
have seen a major shift in some of the key factors influencing
demand, most significantly the credit crunch and its well
documented effects on the stability of the economy and the housing
market. Housing starts have slumped by around 50% from their 2007
peak, though mid-late 2009 is seeing some tentative signs of
recovery.
Non-domestic
construction output is also on a downward trend, with the contract
sector now slowing rapidly as major projects come to an end, and
the lack of major new investment in commercial offices and retail
premises begins to take its toll.
Laminates have seen
their share of the total wood flooring product mix decline to
around 60% in 2009 - having experienced a significant fall in
demand over the 2007-09. Conversely, solid and engineered wood
have experienced a less pronounced fall - buoyed in part by
stronger activity in the commercial sector, and particularly in
terms of engineered wood sales. However, despite share gain, 2009
has proven to be a difficult year, particularly in some key
non-residential construction applications.
Imports from Asia
more than trebled in value terms from 2004 to 2008 and now account
for around 67% of total imports in 2008, with imports from the
European Union accounting for 27%.
The outlook for wood
flooring is mixed. Laminates are forecast to continue on their
downward path as consumers switch to higher specification
products, though a recovery in consumer spending should help slow
the decline of the sector.
Solid and engineered
wood floors have experienced a stronger rate of decline in 2009,
though a return to growth is forecast in 2010, albeit just 1% and
this will depend on performance in key sectors, such as leisure.
Recovery in the
medium term will be restrained, given the uncertainties in the
underlying economy and employment prospects. Consumer confidence
remains fragile and difficult conditions in many non-residential
sectors will undermine the speed of any recovery in the sector. In
the longer term, however, prospects will be more influenced by
attitudes towards wood flooring which still appear relatively
positive in all key market sectors.