
The UK prefabricated volumetric buildings
market, excluding
‘Pods’, comprises off-site manufactured fully
assembled 3-dimensional units, or modules, with two principal
product sectors – cabin/accommodation units, and modular
buildings. The market is estimated to be worth some £520
million in 2010, which represents a decline of around 9%
compared to 2009.
While the UK volumetric market experienced
positive growth during 2007, reflecting high levels of
government expenditure in health, education and defence, the
global financial crisis adversely impacted the volumetric
sector during 2008-2010 resulting in a significant market
downturn. In 2011 the market continues to be particularly
difficult, with a decline of around 25% over the 3-year period
2008-2011 – primarily due to the major decline in
housebuilding and cuts in public sector capital expenditure
programmes.
There is overlap between the prefabricated
volumetric sector and the prefabricated frame and panel, and
traditional building sectors, with manufacturers and building
projects incorporating elements from all three construction
methods.
Key application areas for volumetric buildings
include hire, defence, health care, education, hotel,
commercial and industrial, and residential housing, with
certain sectors performing better than others, while
underlying low level growth in cellular applications –
including, for example, hotels and student accommodation,
represents a positive market influence.
Significant consolidation has occurred in the
UK prefabricated buildings sector reflecting the cumulative
impact of challenging market conditions, restructuring and the
exit of major players. Distribution channels include direct to
end users, or via contractors, distributors, and the
hire/rental channel.
The underlying trend to single living
accommodation represents a key driver for growth in the
prefabricated volumetric buildings market with high
repeatability of standardised modules producing significant
economies of scale – for example, student and social housing,
hotels, etc.
The development in the volumetric sector of
integrated structural design, facilitating the assembly of
buildings up to 24 storeys without the necessity of a
secondary structural support system, is likely to enhance
levels of market penetration, in terms of productivity, build
schedules and cost benefits, in the medium to long term.
Niche sector growth opportunities include the
hotel sector, also self contained units for off and on shore
oil and gas drilling rigs, and wind farm construction,
reflecting increasing investment in the oil and renewable
industries, and the replacement of the ageing asset base.
Temporary structures for security, administration, also
tourist and travel information, in connection with the 2012
Olympic Games, are also likely to provide some additional
short term opportunities for the volumetric sector.
In general, trends in the volumetric buildings
market tend to reflect construction trends, with some sectors
– including student accommodation and hotels increasing, and
other sectors including defence decreasing. Current forecasts
indicate that the UK prefabricated volumetric buildings market
is likely to experience further decline in the short to medium
term, before stabilising during 2012-2013, with low level
recovery forecast through 2014-2015, reaching a value of
around £524 million in 2015.