
The
wood floorcoverings sector has been negatively affected by the
recession with a decline in non-essential consumer spending and a
significant downturn in the housing market key factors in an
estimated 19% decline in market value 2008-10. In 2010, the wood
flooring sector (solid wood, engineered wood and laminates), was
estimated to account for around 16% value share of the total UK
floorcoverings sector, which is estimated to be worth some £1.8bn.
The contract woods sector has also experienced more difficult
conditions in 2010 and into H1 2011 as key end-use sectors
experienced significant downturn in new build output as well as
refurbishment levels.
The
market has been particularly affected by the downturn in the
housing market with installations into new build impacted by
declining completion numbers, but with woods also facing
increasing competition from alternative floorcoverings such as
porcelain and natural stone floor tiles.
Although the recession has had a negative impact on laminate
sales, this sector was already experiencing a downward trend prior
to 2008. Indications are that the peak for laminate sales
occurred in 2004 with the sector experiencing an estimated 14%
value decline 2005-08. The experience of the laminates sector over
the last 2 years has been for 21% decline in value 2008-10, with
the lower market sectors particularly affected by the downturn in
domestic DIY installations
Contrasting with the experience of laminates, solid & engineered
woods experienced growth of an estimated 22% 2005-08, but has
subsequently declined by around 13% to 2010 with value of around
£103m. Solid and engineered woods have experienced a measure of
interest in the middle and upper market sectors stimulated by the
“improve not move” trend.
Imports continue to dominate the market given the leading
positions of some international floorcovering groups in the UK
market.
The
market for wood flooring into H2 2011 is currently described as
difficult with sources indicting that trading has been volatile
throughout the year. The recovery of the housing market remains
key to the revival of the wood floorcoverings market.
The
contract sector is likely to recover at a slower rate than the
domestic market indicating potential for some reversal of the
trend towards contract installations in the end-use application
mix for wood floorcoverings in recent years. Traditionally, the
contract floorcoverings market has been considerably less volatile
than the domestic sector, but future growth for contract woods is
largely dependent on recovery in key commercial sectors.
Decline in laminate volumes is likely to continue with the market
having peaked in 2004. However, the trend in the market in recent
years towards more middle and upper market laminates, could help
to partly offset the impact on value decline.
The
prospects for solid and engineered woods appear to be more
positive than for laminates, with annual growth rates of 3-5%
currently forecast to 2015 when market value is expected to reach
£116m.