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Domestic Central Heating Market Report - Focus on Smart Heating Controls - UK 2016-2020 Analysis

Published: 21/10/2016 / Number of Pages: 85 / Price: £745.00

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Introduction and Overview

The 13th edition of the 'Domestic Central Heating Market Report - Focus on Smart Heating Controls - UK 2016-2020 Analysis' provides a comprehensive and up to date review of the central heting market. The UK domestic heating market has benefited from a number of Government initiatives in recent years, along with growth in the new housing sector. Other key trends include the wider use of smart heating controls and an increased focus on energy efficiency. The report reviews developments within the industry, with emphasis on both qualitative and quantitative market assessment - both essential requirements to good marketing planning. Recent trends, key influencing factors and future developments are assessed.

Product sectors covered:

  • Smart heating controls - smart thermostats, learning thermostats, advanced zoned systems.
  • Conventional heating controls - programmable thermostats, wireless, TRVs, compensators etc.
  • Boilers - combination, traditional, system etc.
  • Radiators - standard panel, decorative, towel warmers etc.
  • Circulator pumps - stand-alone, boiler-integrated.

Key areas of insight include:

  • Trend towards smart heating controls - these devices enable the remote and flexible control of whole house heating over the internet.
  • Widespread roll out of smart metering and the increased consumer focus on energy efficient central heating products..
  • Significant market opportunities in the replacement sector - around 40% of UK households with central heating have an inefficient non-condensing boiler.
  • Impact of increasing legislation regarding the efficiency and environmental impact of domestic heating systems - ErP 2015 (boilers and circulators), part L, simplified energy efficiency regulations etc.
  • Impact of new build trends - shift towards flats, increasing use of renewable technologies, product developments to meet legislative requirements etc.

Some of the companies included:

ACV UK, Alpha Therm, Ariston Thermo Group, Armstrong Integrated, Baxi Heating UK, Biasi UK, Bosch Thermotechnology Ltd, British Gas, Broag UK, Calpeda UK, Climote, DAB Pumps, Danfoss, Devolo UK, Drayton, Google, Green Energy Options (GEO), ELCO Heating Solutions, Ferroli UK, Grant Engineering UK, Grundfos, Heat Genius, Heatmiser, Honeywell UK Heating, Controls, Ideal Stelrad Group, Inspire Home Automation, Johnson and Starley, Kudox, Lowara, Momit, Myson, Netatmo, OWL Salus Controls UK, PassivSystems, Pegler Yorkshire, QRL Radiator Group, Ravenheat, Salus Controls UK, Secure Controls UK, Siemens Building Technologies, Smedegaard Pumps, Sunvic Controls, Tado, TFC Group, Timeguard, Vaillant Group UK, Viessmann, Vokera, Wilo UK, Zehnder.

The Central Heating Market

  • Market development of central heating installations 2011-2016. Market prospects to 2020 and key influencing factors - the Internet of things, underfloor heating market, insulation trends, environmental legislation, building regulations etc.
  • Product mix - smart controls, conventional controls, boilers, radiators, pumps.
  • Ownership levels, penetration by sector, share by type of application. Source of fuel - mains gas, LPG, oil, solid fuel, and electric.
  • Renewable energy technologies - domestic RHI scheme, feed-in-tariffs.

Smart Heating Controls

  • Smart heating controls market size, trends and forecasts to 2020.
  • Benefits of smart controls - development of smart homes, mobile internet access trends, role of big 6 energy providers.
  • Product mix - smart thermostats, learning thermostats, advanced zoned systems, key features.
  • Key product trends - 'intuitive' learning controls, multi-zonal control, connected TRVs, voice-activated controls etc.
  • Major suppliers - market shares, strengths and key characteristics.

Conventional Heating Controls

  • Conventional heating controls market size, trends and forecasts to 2020 - market opportunities, impact of legislation etc.
  • Product mix - programmers, thermostats, TRVs, motorized valves, compensators etc.
  • Key product trends - wireless technology, development of compensators etc.
  • Major suppliers - market shares, strengths and key characteristics.

Boilers, Radiators and Circulator Pumps

  • Market size, trends and future prospects to 2020.
  • Product mix - Boiler - combination, system, traditional. Radiator - standard, decorative, towel warmer. Circulator - stand-alone, boiler-integrated.
  • Major suppliers - market shares, turnovers, strengths, key characteristics etc.

Distribution

  • Market mix by channel - merchants, DIY multiples, electrical wholesalers, online retailers, other retail, direct from manufacturer or via Big 6 energy provider, OEMs etc.
  • Key companies, shares, strengths and characteristics etc.

Report Summary

The UK domestic central heating market is substantial, with an estimated total value of around £1.1bn at manufacturers' prices in 2015. While the market is mature with central heating installed in around 92% of UK homes, growth potential still exists, particularly through smart heating innovation, used to improve energy efficiency and control. The UK market for central heating saw a notable increase in 2013, with demand in 2014 also reasonably positive, though performance has been much more subdued in 2015/16, reflecting the withdrawal of the ECO scheme and the Green Deal affecting boiler sales in particular. However, the market has benefitted from the introduction of smart heating controls in the past 2-3 years, and demand from the new housebuilding sector has continued to increase.

The UK domestic central heating market has benefited in recent years from increasing health, safety and energy efficiency legislation, revised Building Regulations and environmental legislation. This has stimulated product innovation and development in all sectors of the market. The widespread introduction of smart heating controls has also supported demand, with all of the Big 6 energy companies having added a smart thermostat to their home energy management portfolio. UK householders are becoming much more environmentally aware and are looking towards smart heating solutions in order to minimise energy usage and to save money. Factors which have limited opportunities for growth include the continuing trend towards greater levels of property insulation, driven by further 2014 revisions to Part L of the Building Regulations, which have tended to reduce the overall heating load.

The future performance of the UK domestic heating market is likely to be influenced by overall trends in housebuilding, home improvement, fuel prices, energy efficiency legislation, renewable technologies, and technological developments. With the evolving trend towards smart IoT devices in the home, the development of smart heating controls will have a significant impact on the overall domestic central heating market. There also continues to be significant opportunities to upgrade existing boilers to the more fuel-efficient condensing models. Around 40% of all boilers installed in the UK are non-condensing models. However, there will still be many homeowners who will continue to demand more conventional solutions. Real benefits such as ease of use and convenience will continue to be the primary focus of many conventional heating controls suppliers.

The outlook for the UK domestic central heating market in late 2016 remains relatively flat, with an uncertain UK economy following the UK 'Brexit' vote. However, more steady growth is anticipated from 2018 onwards, driven by the replacement sector and the increasing concern regarding energy efficiency and energy costs etc. By 2020, it is estimated that the UK domestic central heating market will have increased by 14% in value terms, compared to 2016.


List of Report Contents

  1. Contents Listing
  2. 1. INTRODUCTION 7
  3. 1.1 BACKGROUND 7
  4. 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 7
  5. 2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS 9
  6. 2.1 SUMMARY 9
  7. 2.2 KEY TRENDS 10
  8. 2.3 FUTURE PROSPECTS 11
  9. 3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT & CONSTRUCTION 12
  10. 3.1 GDP 12
  11. 3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 14
  12. 3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT 15
  13. 3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION 15
  14. 3.5 DOMESTIC HOUSING 16
  15. 3.6 STERLING 19
  16. 3.7 POPULATION PROFILE 19
  17. 3.8 CONCLUSIONS 20
  18. 4. UK MARKET FOR DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING 21
  19. 4.1 DEFINITION 21
  20. 4.2 MARKET OVERVIEW 21
  21. 4.2.1 Market Size by Value 2011 - 2020 21
  22. 4.2.2 Product Mix (Boilers, Radiators, Circulators, Heating Controls) 22
  23. 4.2.3 Household Penetration 23
  24. 4.2.4 Type of Installation 26
  25. 4.2.5 Source of Fuel 27
  26. 4.3 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 29
  27. 4.3.1 The Internet of Things 29
  28. 4.3.2 Underfloor Heating Market 29
  29. 4.3.3 Insulation Measures 30
  30. 4.3.4 Environmental Legislation 31
  31. 4.3.5 Renewable Energy Technologies 32
  32. 5. SMART HEATING CONTROLS 33
  33. 5.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 33
  34. 5.1.1 Definition 33
  35. 5.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013 - 2020 33
  36. 5.1.3 Future Prospects 34
  37. 5.1.4 Benefits of Smart Heating Controls 36
  38. 5.2 MARKET TRENDS 37
  39. 5.2.1 Development of Smart Homes 37
  40. 5.2.2 Mobile Internet Access 38
  41. 5.2.3 Role of the Energy Companies 39
  42. 5.3 PRODUCT TRENDS 41
  43. 5.3.1 Product Mix 41
  44. 5.3.2 Product Features 41
  45. 5.3.3 Smart Thermostats 43
  46. 5.3.4 Learning Thermostats 45
  47. 5.3.5 Advanced Zoned Systems 47
  48. 5.4 SUPPLIERS 48
  49. 5.4.1 Market Shares 48
  50. 5.4.2 Key Company Profiles 48
  51. 6. CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS 51
  52. 6.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 51
  53. 6.1.1 Definition 51
  54. 6.1.2 Market Size by Value 2011 - 2020 51
  55. 6.1.3 Market Background 51
  56. 6.1.4 Future Prospects 52
  57. 6.1.5 Home Ownership 52
  58. 6.1.6 Legislative Requirements 53
  59. 6.2 PRODUCT TRENDS 53
  60. 6.2.1 Product Mix 53
  61. 6.2.2 Conventional Heating Controls by Type (Thermostats, Programmers, TRVs) 54
  62. 6.3 SUPPLIERS 56
  63. 6.3.1 Market Shares 56
  64. 6.3.2 Key Company Profiles 57
  65. 7. BOILERS 59
  66. 7.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 59
  67. 7.1.1 Definition 59
  68. 7.1.2 Market Size by Value 2011 - 2020 59
  69. 7.1.3 Market Background 59
  70. 7.1.4 Future Prospects 60
  71. 7.2 MARKET TRENDS 61
  72. 7.2.1 Fuel Used (Gas-fired, Oil-fired, Electric, Other) 61
  73. 7.2.2 Location (Wall Mounted, Floor Standing, Back Boilers) 61
  74. 7.2.3 Condensing Boilers 62
  75. 7.3 PRODUCT TRENDS 63
  76. 7.3.1 Product Mix 63
  77. 7.3.2 Boilers by Type (Combination, Traditional, System, Other) 64
  78. 7.4 SUPPLIERS 65
  79. 7.4.1 Market Shares 65
  80. 7.4.2 Key Company Profiles 65
  81. 8. RADIATORS 69
  82. 8.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 69
  83. 8.1.1 Definition 69
  84. 8.1.2 Market Size by Value 2011- 2020 69
  85. 8.1.3 Market Background 69
  86. 8.1.4 Future Prospects 70
  87. 8.2 PRODUCT TRENDS 71
  88. 8.2.1 Product Mix 71
  89. 8.2.2 Radiators by Type (Standard, Decorative, Towel Warmers) 71
  90. 8.3 SUPPLIERS 74
  91. 8.3.1 Market Shares 74
  92. 8.3.2 Key Company Profiles 74
  93. 9. CIRCULATOR PUMPS 77
  94. 9.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 77
  95. 9.1.1 Definition 77
  96. 9.1.2 Market Size by Value 2011 - 2020 77
  97. 9.1.3 Market Background 77
  98. 9.1.4 Future Prospects 78
  99. 9.2 PRODUCT TRENDS 78
  100. 9.2.1 Product Mix 78
  101. 9.2.2 Circulator Pumps by Type (Stand-alone, Boiler Integrated) 79
  102. 9.3 SUPPLIERS 80
  103. 9.3.1 Market Shares 80
  104. 9.3.2 Key Company Profiles 81
  105. 10. DISTRIBUTION 82
  106. 10.1 CHANNEL SHARES 82
  107. 10.2 KEY COMPANIES 83
  108. 10.2.1 Merchants 83
  109. 10.2.2 DIY Multiples 84
  110. 10.2.3 Electrical Wholesalers 84
  111. 10.2.4 Online Retailers and Others 84
  1. Tables & Charts
  2. CHART 1 UK DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING MARKET BY VALUE AND FORECASTS (£M MSP) 2011-2020 9
  3. TABLE 2 GDP DATA - 2013-2016 - KEY CONSTITUENT ELEMENTS 13
  4. CHART 3 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 2000-2020 14
  5. CHART 4 PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 2000-2020 16
  6. TABLE 5 HOUSE BUILDING COMPLETIONS 2011-2020 - UK (000'S DWELLINGS) 16
  7. CHART 6 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS (ENGLAND) 2005-2020 % MIX BY TYPE OF DWELLING 17
  8. TABLE 7 RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN THE UK (000S) 2011-2020 18
  9. TABLE 8 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2012-2018 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES 19
  10. TABLE 9 UK DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING MARKET - BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2011-2020 22
  11. CHART 10 MARKET MIX BY PRODUCT TYPE (BOILERS, RADIATORS, CIRCULATORS, SMART HEATING CONTROLS, CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS) BY VALUE 2015 23
  12. CHART 11 PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING - 1996, 2006 AND 2015 24
  13. CHART 12 PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING BY TENURE (OWNER OCCUPIED, PRIVATE RENTED, SOCIAL HOUSING) 2015 25
  14. CHART 13 NUMBER OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING BY BOILER TYPE - COMBINATION, STANDARD, BACK (000'S) 2015 26
  15. CHART 14 MARKET MIX BY TYPE OF INSTALLATION (REPLACEMENT, NEW HOUSING, FIRST TIME EXISTING HOUSING) - BY VOLUME 2015 27
  16. CHART 15 MARKET MIX BY SOURCE OF FUEL USED (GAS, OIL, OTHER ETC.) - BY VOLUME 2015 28
  17. CHART 16 PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH INSULATION MEASURES BY TYPE - 1996, 2006 AND 2015 31
  18. TABLE 17 UK SMART HEATING CONTROLS MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013 - 2020 34
  19. CHART 18 SMART & CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2011-2020 36
  20. CHART 19 UK HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF SMART HOME SYSTEMS - 2013-2020 38
  21. CHART 20 GB ADULTS ACCESSING THE INTERNET WITH A SMARTPHONE 2011 - 2016 39
  22. TABLE 21 UK BIG 6 ENERGY COMPANIES CUSTOMER BASE AND SMART THERMOSTAT SOLUTION 2016 40
  23. CHART 22 SMART HEATING CONTROLS MIX BY TYPE (SMART THERMOSTATS, LEARNING THERMOSTATS, ADVANCED ZONED SYSTEMS) - BY VOLUME 2015 41
  24. TABLE 23 LEADING SMART HEATING CONTROLS - SUMMARY OF FEATURES 42
  25. TABLE 24 SMART HEATING CONTROLS - LEADING SUPPLIERS 2015 48
  26. TABLE 25 UK CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2011-2020 51
  27. CHART 26 CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS PRODUCT MIX - THERMOSTATS, PROGRAMMERS, TRVS, MOTORISED VALVES, COMPENSATORS - BY VALUE 2015 54
  28. TABLE 27 CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS - LEADING SUPPLIERS 2015 57
  29. TABLE 28 UK DOMESTIC BOILER MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2011-2020 59
  30. CHART 29 BOILER SALES MIX BY TYPE OF FUEL (GAS-FIRED, OIL-FIRED, ELECTRIC, ETC.) - BY VOLUME 2015 61
  31. CHART 30 BOILER SALES MIX BY LOCATION (WALL MOUNTED, FLOOR STANDING) BY VOLUME 2015 62
  32. CHART 31 BOILER MIX BY TYPE (COMBINATION, TRADITIONAL, SYSTEM, ETC.) - BY VOLUME 2015 63
  33. TABLE 32 DOMESTIC BOILER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES - BY VALUE 2015 65
  34. TABLE 33 UK DOMESTIC RADIATOR MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2011-2020 69
  35. CHART 34 RADIATOR MIX BY TYPE (STANDARD, DECORATIVE, TOWEL WARMERS) - BY VALUE 2015 71
  36. TABLE 35 DOMESTIC RADIATOR SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES - BY VALUE 2015 74
  37. TABLE 36 UK DOMESTIC CIRCULATOR MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2011-2020 77
  38. CHART 37 CIRCULATOR PRODUCT MIX (BOILER-INTEGRATED, STAND-ALONE) - BY VOLUME 2015 79
  39. TABLE 38 CIRCULATOR SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARE - BY VALUE 2015 81
  40. CHART 39 MARKET DISTRIBUTION BY CHANNEL DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING PRODUCTS- BY VOLUME 2015 82
  41. Eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo.

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