Construction and Housing Forecast Bulletin - GB 2017-2021
Issue 36 - April 2017
Introduction and Overview
The 'Construction and Housing Forecast Bulletin - GB' is published four times a year. The bulletin provides analysis of the overall construction market in current prices, in terms of new work and RMI activity, also public and private sectors and detailed reviews of the two main sectors with sub-sector analysis for quarterly output and new orders, housing starts and completions, new work and RMI, as well as forecasts of new work and RMI activity to 2021.
Data sources used in the compilation of this report include government statistics, existing published data, websites, trade magazines, etc, while a range of interviews with construction product suppliers, distributors, etc has also contributed to the development of the report. In addition, our research background in construction and related sectors has been used to provide an understanding of the market and key factors that could influence trends and forecasts for the construction industry.
Each Issue covers:
- Recent and current trends in the construction industry in Great Britain
- Changes in output overall and by residential and non-residential sectors.
- Revised forecasts based on the latest statistics and information available
- Key influencing factors: GDP growth, inflation, interest rates etc.
- Impact of government strategy and review.
- Forecasts to 2021 for new work and RMI in each of the residential and non-residential sectors.
Issue 36 Includes:
This issue of the bulletin includes revised data for the full year 2015, and preliminary data for Q3 2016, for output and new orders for total GB construction as well as the residential and non-residential sectors. Revised figures for 2015 indicate that total construction output in Great Britain increased by 6% in 2015 to reach £144.8bn - a new output peak - and representing a 3rd successive year of growth. Indications are that there was a 2% increase in total construction output in Q3 2016, following a 7% increase in Q2, despite uncertainty caused by the Brexit vote. The consequences for construction has been a key talking point, however, and the implications for the construction sector are likely to become clearer as the UK begins the process of negotiating trade agreements. There seems little doubt though, that the uncertainty will lead to some volatility in the market over the next 1-2 years.
- Actual figures to Q2 2016 & preliminary for Q3 2016 - construction output (new work and RMI) and new orders.
- Sector performance since 2012 with detailed analysis of output and new orders.
- Forecasts to 2021 in the residential and the non-residential sub-sectors, including the potential impact of Brexit on construction activity.
- Recovery in the residential sector in particular, also in the private commercial non-residential sector.
- Output peak in terms of value of construction output in 2015.
- Output mix by new work and RMI.
- 56 pages of analysis and informed reporting with 42 tables and charts.
- Comment and interpretation on trends and forecasts.
Construction Sectors Covered:
- Private Housing
- Public Housing
- Leisure & Entertainment
- Agriculture & Misc.
How to Subscribe
A subscription to the Forecast Bulletin costs £395 per annum for four quarterly issues in PDF format, delivered electronically. The subscription price includes a 3-user license allowing subscribers to circulate report content freely within their organisation.
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