Timber Merchants Market Report - UK 2011-2015 Analysis
Published: 07/09/2011 / Number of Pages: 94 / Price:
Introduction and Overview
AMA Research has published the 3rd edition of the "Timber Merchants Market Report UK - 2011-2015 Analysis". Incorporating original input and primary research, this unique new report represents an informed and up to date review of the market.
The report contains:
- Detailed assessment of the market - review of recent trends in specialist timber merchants sector - current and future developments, with medium-long term forecasts.
- Distribution structure - review of specialist timber merchants, key players (at both a regional and national level), competing channels.
- Analysis by product group:
- Sawn and Planed Timber - hardwood and softwood.
- Sheet and Board Materials - OSB, MDF, plywood, etc.
- Manufactured Semi-Finished Products - doors, windows, staircases, roof trusses, timber frames,fencing, decking, flooring etc.
- Other Products sold by timber merchants.
- Market forecasts up to 2015 - forecasts and key factors influencing the market.
Of particular interest:
- Analysis of market size and a comprehensive review of key factors and trends influencing the market.
- Identification of leading national timber merchants and larger regional timber merchant operations.
- Review of key end-use sectors and trends - glazing, timber frame etc.
- Review of competitive channels of distribution
- Market forecasts for 2011/2012 - medium term prospects up to 2015.
Companies in the report include:
A W Champion Timber, Alloway Timber, Alsford Timber, Arbor Forest Products, Arnold Laver, B&Q, Beesley & Fildes, Brooks Bros, BSW Timber, C & W Berry, C L Jones, C R Taylor Timber, Carvers, Castle Timber, Crown Timber, David Cover & Sons, Donaldson Timber Engineering, Finnforest UK, Firwood Timber & Plywood Co . G E Robinson & Co, George Sykes, Haldane Fisher, Harlow Bros, Homebase, Huws Gray, IJK Timber Group, International Plywood, James Donaldson Timber, James Jones and Sons, James Latham plc, James McMahon Group, Jewson, JT Dove, Lawsons (Whetstone) Ltd, LBS Builders Merchants, Merton Timber, Meyer Timber, MGM Timber, MKM Building Supplies, North Yorkshire Timber, Parker Kislingbury, Payne Timber, Pontrilas Timber & Builders Merchants, Rembrand Timber, RGB Building Supplies, Robert Duncan Timber, Robert Price, Roger Haydock & Co, Rowan Timber, Snows Timber, Sydenhams, Thornbridge Sawmills, TimberMart (UK), Timbmet Group, Wickes, WJ Handrahan, Wolseley.
- Structure of the timber merchants market, including general characteristics, numbers, trends etc - overlap with other channels.
- Major timber merchants - turnovers, customer focus, product strengths, etc.
- Market shares of major merchants on both a national and regional level. Review of key players in UK market.
- Analysis of competitive channels and their changing emphasis - builders merchants, importers/distributors, DIY multiples, etc.
- Analysis of timber products market structure - products and distribution, suppliers, distributors, contractors and end-users.
- Market size in value terms: 2004-10 with forecasts through to 2015.
- Legislative changes, sustainability issues and timber certification schemes and their influence upon the market.
- Analysis of current market situation - performance in 2011/12.
- Background and future prospects, including trends, opportunities, threats and major factors influencing potential future development of the market up to 2015.
Products / Suppliers
- Product mix for timber merchants.
- Review of each product sector - sawn/planed timber, sheet material and manufactured products (doors, windows, flooring, timber frame housing etc.)
- Market size and trends per major product group.
- Product mix within major product groups.
- Timber merchants sales by main product group.
- Analysis of timber merchants key customers - builders, self-builders, manufacturers, shopfitters, etc.
- Brief review of key end use markets.
- Distribution trends for timber merchants - changing structure of market etc.
Key Market Influences
- Review of the housing and construction markets.
- Raw material prices & availability.
- Environmental and sustainability issues. Legislation and standards.
- Economic influences, growth prospects - forecasts up to 2015 and key drivers.
The Timber Merchants market relies heavily on the performance of the housing and general construction market in the UK and currently the housing market is still subdued following a severe recession that has lasted several years. Following a 4 year period of growth up to 2008, the timber merchant's market went into decline and in 2010, the timber merchants market is estimated to be worth around £1,230m - a fall of 9% on the previous year. There were strong annual increases up to 2007/08, before a combination of the housing recession together with the start of a decline in non domestic construction output impacted severely on the sector - resulting in an estimated decline of 12% in 2009 and a further decline of around 9% in 2010.
In 2010, although UK new housing starts increased to 141,000, a 32% increase compared to the previous year, this was still much lower than the 2007 level of 232,000. There are some indications of a slight recovery in early 2011, but it is too early to assess whether this growth will be sustained for the rest of 2011. In addition to new housebuilding, sales of timber also rely heavily on replacement timber products in the social sector and home improvement in the private sector. In 2009 there was a decline in both sectors, the private sector performing worst with a decline of around 11% whilst the public downturn was less severe at -2%. Forecasts for 2011 indicate low or no growth in RMI in public and private housing in value terms and the timber sector may face a further challenging year of reduced margins and low volumes.
The volume of flats constructed in the UK rose considerably from 2003 - 07 and by the end of 2009 the share of flats to total housing was 50%. However in 2010 traditional housing completions were 55% of total housing with flats at a reduced figure of 45%. This decline in flats and return to more traditional housing should have a positive effect on the sector with the need to supply increasing volumes of timber such as roof trusses, doors and windows, fencing, gates etc. The number of small sawmills in the UK - those with sawnwood production of less than 1,000 m3 - totalled 259 in 1994 and by 2010 that number had declined to just 73. Consolidation throughout the sector over the years has resulted in the number of large sawmills i.e. more than 50,000 m3 p.a. increasing substantially in the same period.
In the 5 years to 2010 production of sawn softwood the UK has been largely static - though total consumption has declined by around 20%. As a result, UK sawn softwood market share has grown as imports have declined from 35% to 27% of consumption. Woodbased panel production in the UK (Particleboard and Fibreboard) saw decline in the 4 years to 2009 by 13%, about the same decline as exports, however imports of the product declined much more significantly by 37% in the period. However, as the housing market started to show some signs of recovery in 2010 consumption of woodbased panels recovered by around 9%.
In the short term, it is unlikely that the timber merchants market will experience any other than marginal growth at best, and this may not occur until 2012. The housing market, on which the sector depends, shows little sign of full recovery and it may well be several years before housebuilding volumes reach levels equivalent to the years before the housing recession. Much will depend on RMI in the housing sector and there will need to be a return of consumer confidence and readily available mortgage finance before growth rates will achieve an appropriate level. House prices still show no sign of sustained growth in early-mid 2011 and mortgage approvals have not improved for some time.
List of Report Contents
- Contents Listing
- 1. INTRODUCTION 5
- 1.1 BACKGROUND 6
- 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 6
- 2. SUMMARY AND FUTURE PROSPECTS 8
- 2.1 SUMMARY 8
- 3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 11
- 3.1 GDP 11
- 3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 12
- 3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT 13
- 3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION 14
- 3.5 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION 15
- 3.6 STERLING 16
- 3.7 POPULATION PROFILE 16
- 3.8 CONCLUSIONS 17
- 4. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 19
- 4.1 NATIONAL HOUSEBUILDING 19
- 4.2 REGIONAL HOUSEBUILDING 21
- 4.3 MIX OF HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS 22
- 4.4 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT HOUSING REPAIR AND MAINTENANCE 25
- 4.5 RAW MATERIAL PRICES 27
- 4.6 ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES 28
- 4.7 CERTIFICATION 29
- 4.8 LEGISLATION AND POLICY 31
- 5. THE TIMBER MARKET 34
- 5.1 MARKET STRUCTURE 34
- 5.2 TIMBER MERCHANTS MARKET DEFINITION 38
- 5.3 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE 41
- 5.4 TIMBER MARKET SECTOR OVERVIEW 44
- 5.5 MARKET SIZE 45
- 6. THE TIMBER MERCHANTS 48
- 6.1 MERCHANT COMPANIES 48
- 6.2 MARKET SHARES 48
- 6.2.1 National Merchants 50
- 6.2.2 Regional Timber Merchants 52
- 6.2.3 Competitive Environment 64
- 6.2.4 Builders Merchants 65
- 6.2.5 Importers/Distributors 67
- 6.2.6 DIY retailers 68
- 6.2.7 Other 69
- 7. PRODUCTS 70
- 7.1 TIMBER PRODUCTS MARKET DEFINITION AND SIZE 70
- 7.2 PRODUCT MIX 71
- 7.3 SAWN AND PLANED TIMBER 73
- 7.3.1 Market Size 73
- 7.3.2 Product Mix 74
- 7.4 WOOD BASED PANELS 76
- 7.4.1 Market Size 76
- 7.4.2 Product Mix 77
- 7.4.3 Manufactured Products 78
- 7.5 OTHER PRODUCTS 82
- 8. TIMBER MERCHANTS CUSTOMERS 83
- 8.1 BACKGROUND AND CURRENT DISTRIBUTION 83
- 8.2 BUILDERS 84
- 8.3 SELF BUILDERS 85
- 8.4 MANUFACTURERS 86
- 8.4.1 Timber Frames 86
- 8.4.2 Trussed Rafters 88
- 8.4.3 Joinery 88
- 8.4.4 Furniture 92
- 8.5 SHOPFITTERS 93
- 8.6 OTHERS 93
- Tables & Charts
- CHART 1 UK TIMBER MERCHANTS MARKET AND FORECASTS 2004-2015 BY VALUE 8
- CHART 2 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1992-2015 13
- CHART 3 PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1992-2015 14
- TABLE 4 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2006-2011 - STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES 16
- CHART 5 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION MID-2008 ('000) 17
- CHART 6 HOUSING CONSTRUCTION STARTS & COMPLETIONS AND FORECASTS 2005 TO 2015 BY VOLUME 20
- TABLE 7 PUBLIC SECTOR* HOUSE BUILDING STARTS 2004-2010 ENGLISH REGIONS BY VOLUME 21
- TABLE 8 PRIVATE HOUSE BUILDING STARTS 2005-2010 ENGLISH REGIONS BY VOLUME 22
- CHART 9 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS - % MIX BY HOUSES / FLATS ENGLAND 2001-2009 23
- TABLE 10 ESTIMATED NUMBER OF FLATS BUILT IN UK - 2003-10 ('000S) 24
- CHART 11 RMI HOUSING FORECASTS 2005 TO 2015 25
- CHART 12 NUMBER OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS WITH VALUE OF £40,000 OR ABOVE UK JAN 06 - FEB 11 '000 26
- CHART 13 SOFTWOOD SAWLOG PRICE INDICES PER M³ IN THE UK, SEP 2006- SEP 2010, (2006 = 100) 28
- CHART 14 CODE FOR SUSTAINABLE HOMES - CATEGORIES NECESSARY TO ACHIEVE CODE POINTS 32
- CHART 15 LEVELS IN THE TIMBER SUPPLY CHAIN 34
- TABLE 16 UK SOFTWOOD DELIVERIES 2005-2010 000' GREEN TONNES 35
- TABLE 17 NUMBER OF ESTABLISHMENTS IN THE PRIMARY WOOD PROCESSING INDUSTRIES USING UK-GROWN ROUNDWOOD 36
- TABLE 18 UK SAWMILL PRODUCTION AND IMPORTS OF SAWNWOOD 2006-10 '000 M3 37
- CHART 19 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE - SAWN AND PLANED TIMBER 41
- CHART 20 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE - SHEET/BOARD MATERIALS AND MANUFACTURED WOOD PRODUCTS 43
- CHART 21 CONSUMPTION OF SAWN SOFTWOOD 2010, BY SECTOR 44
- TABLE 22 UK TIMBER MERCHANTS MARKET AND FORECASTS 2005-2015 - BY VALUE (£M AT MERCHANTS SELLING PRICES) 45
- CHART 23 DISTRIBUTION OF MARKET SHARE 2010, BY COMPANY SIZE 49
- TABLE 24 MAJOR TIMBER MERCHANTS - ESTIMATED MARKET SHARES - UK 2010 50
- TABLE 25 OVERVIEW OF LEADING TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN SCOTLAND 53
- TABLE 26 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN NORTH WEST ENGLAND 55
- TABLE 27 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN NORTH EAST ENGLAND 56
- TABLE 28 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN THE MIDLANDS 57
- TABLE 29 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN WALES 59
- TABLE 30 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN SOUTH WEST ENGLAND 60
- TABLE 31 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN THE SOUTH EAST, EAST ANGLIA & LONDON 62
- TABLE 32 DETAILS OF TOP TIMBER SUPPLIERS IN NORTHERN IRELAND 63
- CHART 33 TIMBER PRODUCTS MARKET BY DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL 2010 - % BY VALUE 65
- CHART 34 UK MARKET FOR TIMBER PRODUCTS 2002-2010 - BY VALUE £M AT MERCHANTS' SELLING PRICES 70
- CHART 35 TIMBER MERCHANTS SALES BY MAJOR PRODUCT GROUPS 2010 - % BY VALUE 72
- TABLE 36 UK SAWN/PLANED WOOD - 2002-2010 (£ M AT MERCHANTS PRICES) 73
- TABLE 37 UK PRODUCTION OF SAWNWOOD 2005-09 (-000' M3) 74
- TABLE 38 UK SHEET/PANEL PRODUCTS 2002 TO 2010 - BY VALUE (£M AT MERCHANTS' PRICES) 76
- CHART 39 PRODUCT MIX WOODBASED PANELS 2010 - % BY VOLUME 77
- CHART 40 UK MANUFACTURED TIMBER PRODUCTS - 2002 TO 2010 (£M AT MERCHANTS SELLING PRICES) 78
- CHART 41 MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS SALES BY MAJOR PRODUCT GROUPS 2010 - % BY VALUE 79
- CHART 42 UK MARKET FOR WOOD FLOORCOVERINGS 2005-2015 - BY VALUE (£M AT MSP) 80
- CHART 43 PRODUCT MIX - DOMESTIC HARD LANDSCAPING MARKET, 2009 (% BY VALUE) - DECKING, PAVING & WALLING, AGGREGATES, FENCING / TRELLIS ETC 81
- CHART 44 MERCHANTS SALES DISTRIBUTION BY CUSTOMER GROUP 2010 - BY VOLUME M³ 83
- CHART 45 UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING, GROWTH IN COMPLETIONS BY COUNTRY AND BY VOLUME 2000-2009 87
- TABLE 46 UK DOMESTIC REPLACEMENT DOOR & WINDOW MARKET (£M RSP) 2006-2014 89
- CHART 47 MIX OF WINDOWS BY FRAME MATERIAL 1986, 1992, 1998, 2004 AND 2009 BY VALUE 90
- CHART 48 MIX OF RESIDENTIAL DOORS BY FRAME MATERIAL 1986, 1992, 1998, 2004 AND 2009 BY VALUE 91
- TABLE 49 TOTAL SALES OF DOMESTIC FURNITURE BY PRODUCT GROUP (£M MSP) 92
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