Domestic Central Heating Market Report – UK 2018-2022

The 14th edition of the ‘Domestic Central Heating Market Report UK 2018-2022‘ reviews developments within the industry, with emphasis on both qualitative and quantitative market assessment – both essential requirements to good marketing planning. Recent trends, key influencing factors and future developments are assessed.

Product sectors covered:

• Overall domestic central heating market size by value 2013-2022.
• Boilers – market size by value, product mix, e.g. combination, traditional, system etc.
• Radiators – standard panel, decorative, towel warmers etc.
• Circulator pumps – stand-alone, boiler-integrated.
• Conventional heating controls and smart heating controls – smart thermostats, learning thermostats etc.

Key areas of insight include:

• Impact of increasing legislation regarding the efficiency and environmental impact of domestic heating systems – Boiler Plus 2018 (boilers and controls), ErP 2018 (reduced NoX emissions for boilers), Part L 2018 (rental properties) etc.
• Development of smart heating controls – enabling remote and flexible control of whole house heating in line with smart home trends.
• Significant market opportunities in the replacement sector – around 30% of UK households with central heating have an inefficient ‘zombie’ non-condensing boiler.
• Impact of new build trends – smart homes, micro flats, increasing use of renewable technologies, product developments to meet legislative requirements etc.
• Detailed market data and insight on the domestic central heating market by AMA Research, a leading UK provider of construction market intelligence.

Some of the companies included:

Alpha, Ariston, Baxi Heating UK, Biasi, Calpeda, Danfoss Randall, Drayton Controls, Ferroli, Glow-worm, Grafton, Grant UK, Grundfos, Heatline, Honeywell, Horstmann, Ideal Boilers, Jaga, Johnson and Starley, Kudox, Lowara UK, MHS Radiators, Pegler Yorkshire, Potterton, Quinn Radiators, Ravenheat, Rettig UK, Saint-Gobain, Salus Controls, Screwfix, Siemens Building Technologies, Smedegard Pumps, Stelrad, Sunvic,TFC Group, The Radiator Company, Travis Perkins, Vaillant Group UK, Vogue UK, Vokera, Wilo UK, Wolseley, Worcester Bosch Group, Zehnder, and more.

Market Overview

• Historical background – influencing factors, legislation, economic influences etc.
• Market size by value – central heating installations 2013-2018. Market prospects to 2022 and key influencing factors – the Internet of Things, underfloor heating market, insulation trends, environmental legislation, building regulations etc.
• Review of key factors influencing recent growth rates, new housing, legislation, product development etc.
• Product mix – boilers, radiators, pumps, smart controls, conventional controls.
• Ownership levels, penetration by sector, share by type of application. Source of fuel – mains gas, LPG, oil, solid fuel, and electric.
• Renewable energy technologies – 2016 domestic RHI scheme revisions.

Domestic Central Heating Products

• Boiler market size, trends and forecasts to 2022 – legislative changes including 2018 Boiler Plus, Part L, condensing sales, new build trends, impact of renewable heating solutions etc.
• Boiler market share by type of fuel – gas-fired, oil-fired, electric etc. Market mix by location – wall mounted, floor standing, back boiler etc. Product mix by type of boiler – combination, system, traditional etc.
• Radiator market size, trends and forecasts to 2022 – the increasing importance of thermal performance, growth of decorative styles, new build trends, impact of UFH etc.
• Product mix by type of radiator – standard, decorative, towel warmer. Key product trends – design, materials, finish, colour, functionality, and innovation.
• Circulator pump market development and forecasts to 2022 – legislative changes, influence of boiler trends etc. Product mix by type of circulator – stand-alone, boiler-integrated. Key product trends – high efficiency circulators, ErP requirements etc.
• Heating controls market size, trends and forecasts to 2022 – market opportunities, impact of legislation, home ownership, development of smart homes etc.
• Conventional controls product mix and trends – programmers, thermostats, TRVs, motorized valves, compensators etc.
• Smart controls product mix and trends – smart thermostats, learning thermostats, advanced zoned systems etc. Major suppliers – smart and conventional.

Supply & Distribution

• Review of major suppliers in all product sectors – major groups, leading companies, specialist suppliers. Company overview, key products, sectors and financial information.
• Review of distribution structure illustrating direct supply and key channels including major companies operating in each channel.
• Company overview and financials for leading distributors. Major mix by channel – merchants, home improvement multiples, electrical wholesalers, online retailers, other retail, direct from manufacturer, via Big 6 energy provider, OEMs etc.

1. Contents Listing
2. 1. INTRODUCTION 7
3. 1.1 BACKGROUND 7
4. 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 7
5. 2. SUMMARY AND MARKET PROSPECTS 9
6. 2.1 SUMMARY 9
7. 2.2 KEY TRENDS 10
8. 2.3 MARKET PROSPECTS 11
9. 3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT & CONSTRUCTION 13
10. 3.1 GDP 13
11. 3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 14
12. 3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT 15
13. 3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION 15
14. 3.5 HOUSING 16
15. 3.6 STERLING 20
16. 3.7 POPULATION PROFILE 21
17. 3.8 CONCLUSIONS 21
18. 4. UK MARKET FOR DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING 23
19. 4.1 DEFINITION 23
20. 4.2 MARKET OVERVIEW 23
21. 4.2.1 Market Size by Value 2013 – 2022 23
22. 4.2.2 Product Mix (Boilers, Radiators, Circulators, Heating Controls) 24
23. 4.2.3 Household Penetration 25
24. 4.2.4 Type of Installation 27
25. 4.2.5 Source of Fuel 28
26. 4.3 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 30
27. 4.3.1 The Internet of Things 30
28. 4.3.2 Underfloor Heating Market 30
29. 4.3.3 Insulation Measures 31
30. 4.3.4 Environmental Legislation 32
31. 4.3.5 Renewable Energy Technologies 34
32. 5. BOILERS 35
33. 5.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 35
34. 5.1.1 Definition 35
35. 5.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013 – 2022 35
36. 5.2 MARKET TRENDS 36
37. 5.2.1 Fuel Used (Gas-fired, Oil-fired, Electric, Other) 36
38. 5.2.2 Location (Wall Mounted, Floor Standing, Back Boilers) 37
39. 5.2.3 Condensing Boilers 38
40. 5.2.4 Boiler Plus Legislation 39
41. 5.3 PRODUCT TRENDS 40
42. 5.3.1 Product Mix 40
43. 5.3.2 Boilers by Type (Combination, Traditional, System, Other) 40
44. 5.4 SUPPLIERS 42
45. 5.4.1 Market Shares 42
46. 5.4.2 Key Company Profiles 42
47. 6. RADIATORS 46
48. 6.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 46
49. 6.1.1 Definition 46
50. 6.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013- 2022 46
51. 6.1.3 Market Prospects 47
52. 6.2 PRODUCT TRENDS 48
53. 6.2.1 Product Mix 48
54. 6.2.2 Radiators by Type (Standard, Decorative, Towel Warmers) 48
55. 6.3 SUPPLIERS 51
56. 6.3.1 Market Shares 51
57. 6.3.2 Key Company Profiles 51
58. 7. CIRCULATOR PUMPS 54
59. 7.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 54
60. 7.1.1 Definition 54
61. 7.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013 – 2022 54
62. 7.1.3 Market Prospects 54
63. 7.2 PRODUCT TRENDS 55
64. 7.2.1 Product Mix 55
65. 7.2.2 Circulator Pumps by Type (Stand-alone, Boiler Integrated) 56
66. 7.3 SUPPLIERS 57
67. 7.3.1 Market Shares 57
68. 7.3.2 Key Company Profiles 57
69. 8. HEATING CONTROLS 59
70. 8.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 59
71. 8.1.1 Definition 59
72. 8.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013 – 2022 59
73. 8.1.3 Market Prospects 61
74. 8.1.4 Home Ownership 61
75. 8.1.5 Legislative Requirements 62
76. 8.1.6 Development of Smart Homes 63
77. 8.1.7 Role of the Energy Companies 64
78. 8.2 PRODUCT TRENDS 66
79. 8.2.1 Conventional Heating Controls 66
80. 8.2.2 Smart Heating Controls 69
81. 8.3 SUPPLIERS 74
82. 8.3.1 Market Shares – Conventional Heating Controls 74
83. 8.3.2 Key Company Profiles – Conventional Heating Controls 74
84. 8.3.3 Market Shares – Smart Heating Controls 76
85. 8.3.4 Key Company Profiles – Smart Heating Controls 76
86. 9. DISTRIBUTION 78
87. 9.1 CHANNEL SHARES 78
88. 9.2 KEY COMPANIES 79
89. 9.2.1 Merchants 79
90. 9.2.2 Home Improvement Multiples 80
91. 9.2.3 Electrical Wholesalers 80
92. 9.2.4 Online Retailers and Others 80

1. Tables & Charts
2. CHART 1: UK DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING MARKET BY VALUE AND FORECASTS (£M MSP) 2013-2022 9
3. TABLE 2: GDP DATA – 2015-2018 – KEY CONSTITUENT ELEMENTS 13
4. CHART 3: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 2000-2022 15
5. CHART 4: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 2000-2022 16
6. TABLE 5: RESIDENTIAL NEW HOUSE BUILDING COMPLETIONS 2013-2022 – UK (000’S DWELLINGS) 17
7. CHART 6: HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS (ENGLAND) 2008-2018 % MIX BY TYPE OF DWELLING 18
8. TABLE 7: RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN THE UK (000S) 2013-2022 19
9. TABLE 8: EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2014-2020 – STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES 21
10. TABLE 9: UK DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING MARKET – BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 23
11. CHART 10: MARKET MIX BY PRODUCT TYPE (BOILERS, RADIATORS, CIRCULATORS, SMART HEATING CONTROLS, CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS) BY VALUE 2017 24
12. CHART 11: PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING – 1996, 2006 AND 2017 25
13. CHART 12: PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING BY TENURE (OWNER OCCUPIED, PRIVATE RENTED, SOCIAL HOUSING) 2017 26
14. CHART 13: NUMBER OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING BY BOILER TYPE – COMBINATION, STANDARD, BACK (000’S) 2017 27
15. CHART 14: MARKET MIX BY TYPE OF INSTALLATION (REPLACEMENT, NEW HOUSING, FIRST TIME EXISTING HOUSING) – BY VOLUME 2017 28
16. CHART 15: MARKET MIX BY SOURCE OF FUEL USED (GAS, OIL, OTHER ETC.) – BY VOLUME 2017 29
17. CHART 16: PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH INSULATION MEASURES BY TYPE – 1996, 2006 AND 2017 32
18. TABLE 17: UK DOMESTIC BOILER MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 35
19. CHART 18: BOILER SALES MIX BY TYPE OF FUEL (GAS-FIRED, OIL-FIRED, ELECTRIC, ETC.) – BY VOLUME 2017 37
20. CHART 19: BOILER SALES MIX BY LOCATION (WALL MOUNTED, FLOOR STANDING) BY VOLUME 2017 38
21. CHART 20: BOILER MIX BY TYPE (COMBINATION, TRADITIONAL, SYSTEM, ETC.) – BY VOLUME 2017 40
22. TABLE 21: DOMESTIC BOILER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES – BY VALUE 2017 42
23. TABLE 22: UK DOMESTIC RADIATOR MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 46
24. CHART 23: RADIATOR MIX BY TYPE (STANDARD, DESIGNER, TOWEL WARMERS) – BY VALUE 2017 48
25. TABLE 24: DOMESTIC RADIATOR SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES – BY VALUE 2017 51
26. TABLE 25: UK DOMESTIC CIRCULATOR MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 54
27. CHART 26: CIRCULATOR PRODUCT MIX (BOILER-INTEGRATED, STAND-ALONE) – BY VOLUME 2017 55
28. TABLE 27: CIRCULATOR SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARE – BY VALUE 2017 57
29. TABLE 28: UK HEATING CONTROLS MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 59
30. CHART 29: SMART & CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 60
31. CHART 30: UK HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF SMART HEATING CONTROLS 2017 – 2022 63
32. CHART 31: GB ADULTS ACCESSING THE INTERNET WITH A SMARTPHONE 2011 – 2017 64
33. TABLE 32: UK BIG 6 ENERGY COMPANIES CUSTOMER BASE AND SMART THERMOSTAT SOLUTION 2017 65
34. CHART 33: CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS PRODUCT MIX BY VALUE 2017 66
35. CHART 34: SMART HEATING CONTROLS PRODUCT MIX BY VOLUME 2017 70
36. TABLE 35: CONVENTIONAL HEATING CONTROLS – LEADING SUPPLIERS 2017 74
37. TABLE 36: SMART HEATING CONTROLS – LEADING SUPPLIERS 2017 76
38. CHART 37: MARKET DISTRIBUTION BY CHANNEL DOMESTIC CENTRAL HEATING PRODUCTS – BY VALUE 2017 78