Space Heating Market Report – UK 2018-2022


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Space Heating Market Report – UK 2018-2022

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The 5th edition of the ‘Space Heating Market Report UK 2018-2022’ represents an informed and up-to-date detailed review of the domestic and non-domestic space heating market. The total market for space heating products is substantial, and with climate change and growing concerns about energy efficiency and the environment

The ‘Space Heating Market Report – UK 2018-2022’ costs £895+VAT (if applicable) for a PDF version.

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The 5th edition of the ‘Space Heating Market Report UK 2018-2022‘ represents an informed and up-to-date detailed review of the domestic and non-domestic space heating market. The total market for space heating products is substantial, and with climate change and growing concerns about energy efficiency and the environment, space heating products will increasingly be designed to deliver improved thermal performance, in order to achieve lower running costs.

Key areas covered:

  • Domestic Space Heating – gas and electric fires; installed electric heating; portables; solid fuel stoves; radiant bar fires.
  • Non-domestic Space Heating – commercial and industrial boilers; commercial radiators; heat emitters; warm air heaters; radiant heaters; commercial heating controls.
  • Overall market size, trends and forecasts to 2022.
  • Detailed market data and insight on the space heating market by AMA Research, a leading UK provider of construction market intelligence.

Specific areas of insight include:

  • Impact of increasing legislation – ErP 2018 (reduced NoX emissions for commercial boilers, minimum efficiency standards for domestic local space heaters, commercial warm air heaters and radiant heaters), Part L 2018 (rental properties and buildings), simplified energy efficiency regs.
  • Shift in demand for more aspirational domestic space heating products with innovative features and functionality.
  • Replacement opportunities in the gas fires and stoves sector – around 11 million UK homes have a chimney and gas supply; also around 5 million inefficient storage heaters 20+ years old.
  • Trend towards condensing wall-hung commercial boilers, driven by market demand and legislative changes. Modular boiler systems are also increasing popular, they offer a flexible solution that is more flexible and energy efficient.
  • Increasing use of IoT smart heating controls in commercial buildings, to manage energy efficiency and support preventative maintenance measures.
  • Widespread roll-out of smart metering in homes and businesses, with increased focus on energy efficient products.
  • Growing importance of renewables, with many new commercial projects specifying systems that use energy from renewable sources.

Some of the companies included:

Babcock-Wanson UK, Baxi Heating, Biddle Air Systems, BMM Heaters, BN Thermic, Bosch Commercial and Industrial Heating, British Gas, Byworth Boilers, Caledonian Control Technology, Calor, Clyde Radiators, Cochran, Combat HVAC, Danfoss, Diffusion Heating & Cooling, Dunham-Bush, ELCO, Gas Fired Products, GDC Group, Google, Hamworthy Heating, Honeywell Control Systems, Hoval, Ideal Commercial Heating, IMI Hydronic Engineering, Infraglo, Jaga, Johnson & StarleyJohnson Controls, Kroll, Kudox, Lennox Industries, MHS Radiators, Myson Radiators, Nortek Global HVAC UK, Ormandy, Pegler Yorkshire, Powrmatic, Quinn Radiators, Remeha, S&P Coil, Salus Controls UK, Schneider Electric Controls, Schwank, Secure Controls UK, Siemens Plc, Stelrad, Stokvis, Sunvic Controls, Tacotherm, TFC Group, Thermoscreens, Timeguard, Vaillant, Viessmann, Walney, Zehnder, etc.

Domestic Space Heating:

  • Overall market size, trends and forecasts – legislative changes, impact of UFH, insulation measures etc. Ownership levels, source of fuel, imports & exports. Forecasts through to 2022.
  • Product mix – gas and electric fires, installed electric heating, portables, solid fuel stoves, radiant bar fires etc.
  • Gas and electric fires. Market size, share etc. Product innovation, designs etc.
  • Installed electric heating – storage heaters, electric radiators, electric towel warmers, fixed panel heaters, tubular heaters. Market size, trends, market prospects, designs, features etc.
  • Portables – fan heaters, convector heaters, portable panel heaters, LPG heaters, oil filled radiators etc. Market size, mix by type, trends, market prospects etc.
  • Solid fuel stoves – wood burners and multi-fuel. Market size, growth in sales, product trends, and impact of self build etc.
  • Radiant bar fires – gas-fired and electric. Market size, trends etc.
  • Major manufacturers – Market share, factors influencing market position, characteristics, turnover etc.o Review of distribution by product group – key channels and developments.
  • Market prospects in all product sectors..

Non-Domestic Space Heating

  • Overall market size, trends and forecasts. Legislative changes – ErP 2018, Part L, MCPD, EPBD etc. Government initiatives – ECA, Cleaner Heat, ESOS, RHI etc. Impact of IoT. Forecasts through to 2022.
  • Commercial boilers > 44kW – market size, market prospects etc. Product trends, features, shift to condensing, modular systems, off-site constructed plant etc.
  • Commercial radiators – market size, forecasts, product trends etc.
  • Heat emitters – air curtains, fan convectors, fan coil units, perimeter/trench heaters, unit heaters, radiant panel heaters etc. Overall market size, trends, market prospects etc.
  • Warm air heaters – indirect-fired warm air heaters, direct gas-fired warm air systems, portable electric warm air heaters etc. Overall market size, trends, market prospects etc.
  • Radiant heaters – gas or oil-fired tube heaters, gas plaque and electric radiant heaters etc. Overall market size, trends, forecasts etc.
  • Non-domestic heating controls – market size, trends including IoT smart controls, market prospects etc.
  • Leading manufacturers – market shares, characteristics, turnover etc.
  • Review of distribution by product group – key channels and developments.

The UK space heating market saw good growth in the period 2014-15. Improving levels of consumer and business confidence and expenditure supported value growth at this time. The market situation in 2016 was more subdued with the uncertainty surrounding the UK Brexit vote to leave the EU beginning to impact upon the economy.

However, since then the UK space heating market has remained moderately positive. Key drivers include new housing and replacement purchases, although the outlook for the non-domestic market is very much dependent on the path taken to exit the EU and the type of trade and legislative deals formulated.

In the domestic space heating sector, there has been a shift in demand for more aspirational products, which has supported value growth and retailer margins. In addition, climatic influences such as the relatively cold winter of 2017-18 will support demand for domestic space heating products to some extent.

The non-domestic space heating sector has seen steady improvement in the period 2014-17, with the private sector experiencing higher levels of business investment, particularly in the industrial, offices, retail and leisure sectors.

Other positive influences on the space heating market include the growing concerns about energy efficiency and the environment. The UK Government has introduced a significant amount of environmental legislation in recent years, placing a greater emphasis on carbon emissions and fuel efficiency.

The future performance of the UK space heating market is likely to be influenced by overall trends in housebuilding and construction, RMI activity, fuel prices, energy efficiency legislation, renewable technologies and technological developments.

Contents Listing

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION 7
  2. 1.1 BACKGROUND 7
  3. 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 7
  4. 2. SUMMARY AND MARKET PROSPECTS 9
  5. 2.1 SUMMARY 9
  6. 2.2 KEY TRENDS 10
  7. 2.3 MARKET PROSPECTS 11
  8. 3. ECONOMIC, HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION INFLUENCES 12
  9. 3.1 GDP 12
  10. 3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 13
  11. 3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT 14
  12. 3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION 14
  13. 3.5 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION 15
  14. 3.6 STERLING 16
  15. 3.7 POPULATION PROFILE 16
  16. 3.8 CONSTRUCTION AND HOUSING 17
  17. 3.8.1 Non-domestic Construction 17
  18. 3.8.2 House Building Completions 18
  19. 3.8.3 Mix of Housebuilding Completions 19
  20. 3.8.4 House Moving Levels 20
  21. 3.8.5 Custom Build 21
  22. 3.9 CONCLUSIONS 22
  23. 4. SPACE HEATING – DOMESTIC 24
  24. 4.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 24
  25. 4.1.1 Definition 24
  26. 4.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013 – 2022 24
  27. 4.1.3 Household Penetration 26
  28. 4.1.4 Source of Fuel 28
  29. 4.1.5 Imports and Exports (EU, Non-EU) 29
  30. 4.2 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 30
  31. 4.2.1 Domestic Central Heating Market 30
  32. 4.2.2 Underfloor Heating Market 31
  33. 4.2.3 Insulation Measures 32
  34. 4.2.4 Environmental Legislation 33
  35. 4.3 PRODUCT TRENDS 35
  36. 4.3.1 Product Mix 35
  37. 4.3.2 Installed Electric Heating 36
  38. 4.3.3 Gas & Electric Fires 38
  39. 4.3.4 Portable Space Heating 43
  40. 4.3.5 Radiant Bar Fires 45
  41. 4.3.6 Solid Fuel Stoves and Fires 45
  42. 4.4 SUPPLIERS 47
  43. 4.4.1 Market Shares 47
  44. 4.4.2 Key Company Profiles 47
  45. 4.4.3 Other Suppliers 49
  46. 4.5 DISTRIBUTION 52
  47. 5. SPACE HEATING – NON-DOMESTIC 54
  48. 5.1 MARKET OVERVIEW 54
  49. 5.1.1 Definition 54
  50. 5.1.2 Market Size by Value 2013 – 2022 54
  51. 5.2 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 56
  52. 5.2.1 Energy Efficiency Schemes (ECA, CRC, ESOS, RHI, Cleaner Heat) 56
  53. 5.2.2 Environmental Legislation 58
  54. 5.2.3 The Internet of Things 59
  55. 5.3 PRODUCT TRENDS 60
  56. 5.3.1 Product Mix (Heating Systems, Stand-alone Heaters, Heating Controls) 60
  57. 5.3.2 Commercial Heating Systems (Boilers, Radiators, Heat Emitters) 61
  58. 5.3.3 Stand-alone Heaters (Warm Air Heaters, Radiant Heaters) 67
  59. 5.3.4 Heating Controls 69
  60. 5.4 SUPPLIERS AND MARKET SHARES 71
  61. 5.4.1 Commercial Heating Systems (Boilers, Radiators, Heat Emitters) 71
  62. 5.4.2 Stand-alone Heaters (Warm Air Heaters, Radiant Heaters) 76
  63. 5.4.3 Heating Controls 78
  64. 5.5 DISTRIBUTION (COMMERCIAL HEATING SYSTEMS, STAND-ALONE HEATERS) 80

Tables & Charts

  1. CHART 1: UK SPACE HEATING MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2013-2022 9
  2. TABLE 2: GDP DATA – 2015-2018 – KEY CONSTITUENT ELEMENTS 12
  3. CHART 3: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 2000-2022 14
  4. CHART 4: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 2000-2022 15
  5. TABLE 5: EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 2014-2020 – STERLING TO THE DOLLAR, AND THE EURO, SPOT RATES 16
  6. CHART 6: GB NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT NEW WORK AND RMI 2013 TO 2022 – BY VALUE (£ BILLION AT CURRENT PRICES) 17
  7. CHART 7: NON-RESIDENTIAL NEW CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT ANALYSIS BY SECTOR 2017 AND H1 2018 – % BY VALUE 18
  8. TABLE 8: RESIDENTIAL NEW HOUSE BUILDING COMPLETIONS 2013-2022 – GB (000’S DWELLINGS) 19
  9. CHART 9: HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS (ENGLAND) 2005-2018 % MIX BY TYPE OF DWELLING 20
  10. TABLE 10: RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN THE UK (000S) 2013-2022 21
  11. TABLE 11: UK DOMESTIC SPACE HEATING MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 24
  12. CHART 12: NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH SPACE HEATING AS MAIN HEATING SYSTEM IN ENGLAND 2005 – 2017 27
  13. CHART 13: PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH SPACE HEATING AS MAIN HEATING SYSTEM BY TENURE 2017 28
  14. CHART 14: MARKET MIX BY SOURCE OF FUEL (ELECTRICITY, GAS, SOLID FUEL) BY VALUE 2017 29
  15. TABLE 15: IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF DOMESTIC SPACE HEATING PRODUCTS 2017 (£M) 30
  16. CHART 16: PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH CENTRAL HEATING – 1996, 2006 AND 2017 31
  17. TABLE 17: UK UNDERFLOOR HEATING MARKET BY VALUE (£M MSP) 2015-2019 31
  18. CHART 18: PERCENTAGE OF UK HOUSEHOLDS WITH INSULATION MEASURES BY TYPE – 1996, 2006 AND 2017 33
  19. CHART 19: MARKET MIX BY PRODUCT TYPE (GAS & ELECTRIC FIRES, STOVES, INSTALLED ELECTRIC HEATING, RADIANT BAR FIRES, PORTABLES) BY VALUE 2017 35
  20. CHART 20: GAS AND ELECTRIC FIRES MARKET MIX BY VOLUME 2001 AND 2017 39
  21. TABLE 21: FEATURES AND BENEFITS OF ELECTRIC FIRES 40
  22. TABLE 22: FEATURES AND BENEFITS OF GAS FIRES 41
  23. CHART 23: PORTABLES MARKET MIX BY PRODUCT TYPE (FAN HEATERS, PORTABLE PANEL, CONVECTOR, LPG, OTHER) BY VOLUME 2017 43
  24. TABLE 24: SOLID FUEL STOVES – CURRENT AND ECODESIGN EMISSION LIMITS 46
  25. TABLE 25: DOMESTIC SPACE HEATING SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 2017 47
  26. CHART 26: MARKET DISTRIBUTION BY CHANNEL (RETAIL SECTOR, TRADE DISTRIBUTION, OTHER) BY VALUE 2017 52
  27. TABLE 27: UK NON-DOMESTIC SPACE HEATING MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 54
  28. CHART 28: MARKET MIX BY PRODUCT TYPE 2017 61
  29. TABLE 29: UK COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BOILER MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 62
  30. TABLE 30: UK COMMERCIAL RADIATOR MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 64
  31. TABLE 31: UK COMMERCIAL HEAT EMITTER MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 66
  32. TABLE 32: UK STAND-ALONE HEATER MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 67
  33. TABLE 33: UK COMMERCIAL HEATING CONTROLS MARKET (£M MSP) 2013-2022 70
  34. TABLE 34: COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL BOILER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 2017 71
  35. TABLE 35: COMMERCIAL RADIATOR SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 2017 74
  36. TABLE 36: HEAT EMITTER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 2017 75
  37. TABLE 37: WARM AIR HEATER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 2017 77
  38. TABLE 38: RADIANT HEATER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 2017 78
  39. CHART 39: MARKET DISTRIBUTION BY CHANNEL (DIRECT, DISTRIBUTOR) BY VALUE 2017 80
  40. TABLE 40: MARKET DISTRIBUTION BY APPLICATION TYPE (INDUSTRIAL, COMMERCIAL, PUBLIC) BY VALUE 2017 80

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