Offsite Housing Market Report UK 2021-2025 - AMA Research

Offsite Housing Market Report UK 2021-2025

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This new report reviews this potentially fast-growing and complex market. It analyses the level of house building and the influences on the offsite housing market including types of housing development, off-site manufacturing capabilities, shortage of construction skills and BIM.

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The 2nd edition of the ‘Offsite Housing Market -UK 2021-2025’ report has been published, incorporating original research, this new report gives an up-to-date and informed review of this potentially fast-growing and complex market.

Key Issues Covered in the Report

  • Market size & structure – Market value, recent trends, forecasts to 2025, key influencing factors etc.
  • Product sectors – market size estimates & trends and major projects – open & closed panel timber frame, SIPS, cross-laminated timber, light steel frame panelised & volumetric, pods, precast concrete.
  • Suppliers – key manufacturers & profiles, recent market entrants
  • Developers – profiles of those housebuilders & social housing landlords using offsite and summaries of major projects

Some of the Companies Featured:

Stewart Milne Timber Systems, Walker Timber Group, Crendon Timber Engineering, Scotframe Timber Engineering, Frame-Tech Structures, Oregon Timber Frame, Taylor Lane Timber Frame, CCG (OSM), Deeside Timber Frame, Roe Timber Frame, Pinewood Structures, Robertson Timber Engineering, Space 4, Lowfield Timber Frames, Urban Splash, Innovare Systems, Kingspan Timber Solutions, HEMSEC Manufacturing, Low Carbon Construction, SIP Building Systems, Ayrshire Metal Products, BW Industries, Elements Europe, EOS Facades, Fusion Building Systems, Hadley Steel Framing, Kingspan Steel Solutions, Metek, Metsec Steel Framing, Osco Homes, Parabuild Solutions, Sigmat, Terra Pura

Areas of Particular Interest

  • Forecasts for total offsite housing market to 2023
  • Evaluation of key market growth drivers e.g. Homes England funding, growth in Build To Rent
  • Profiles of leading offsite housing systems suppliers and of recent market entrants
  • Assessment of anticipated areas of growth by technology type e.g. cross-laminated timber
  • Identification of leading housing developers using offsite housing systems.

KEY AREAS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Market Review

  • Overview of size by volume and value and trends in the housebuilding market and market shares by construction method
  • Estimates of total market for offsite housing systems by value 2017-2021 and forecasts to 2025
  • Assessment of recent trends and market prospects, the key underlying drivers and expected barriers to growth; Key factors covered include: quality assurance & building warranties;
  • Homes England funding; increasing offsite capacity; growth in Build to Rent and Affordable Housing; skills shortages; developers business models; new products to market; sustainability issues.

Product Sectors

  • Timber frame panelised & volumetric; light steel frame panelised & volumetric; cross-laminated timber panelised & volumetric; structural insulated panel systems; precast offsite components; bathroom & bedroom ‘pods’.
  • By sector – market size estimates by value and identification of key drivers and trends
  • By sector – identification of manufacturers and suppliers, with a focus on market leaders and recent market entrants. Where possible, market share estimates; offsite housing manufacturers profiles.

Housing developers

  • Housebuilders – identification of top 12 using offsite systems on a regular basis, total number of homes sold in 2018, systems used. Profiles for Barratt, Persimmon, Taylor Wimpey, Redrow, Crest Nicolson, Countryside, Keepmoat, Willmott Dixon, Lovell Homes, Stewart Milne, Weston Homes
  • Housing associations & local authorities – for largest 20+, number of starts 2017/2018 and 2018/2019; % of which offsite was used; 5-year plans and potential use of offsite. Profiles for London & Quadrant, Hyde, Home, Sanctuary, Orbit, Clarion, A2 Dominion, Wheatley, Network, Swan, Midland Heart.
  • Private developers – profiles of top 20+ using offsite, including; Pocket Living, Essential Living Aurora Living, Urban Splash, Capital & Centric, CITU, Regal Homes, Tide Construction.

Although the pandemic impacted on output in 2020, in 2021 there was an improvement with the values improving by 6%. Over the medium term, we forecast year-on-year growth in output, driven by a combination of factors. The main ones are: the urgent need to increasing affordable housing supply; a chronic shortage of skilled ‘wet’ trades; government support e.g. Homes England’s Accelerated Construction Programme and the extended Affordable Homes Programme; an increase on offsite housing manufacturing capacity with several manufacturers able to supply at scale; an expansion in the range of available building technologies; an increase in the number of firms and proprietary off-site housing systems obtaining BOPAS (Build off-site Property Assurance Scheme) certification and or NHBC or other providers warranties. This in turn has contributed to an increasing number of mortgage lenders with products suitable for off-site housing.

CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION 8
1.1 INTRODUCTION 8
1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 8
2. SUMMARY 10
3. OVERALL MARKET SIZE AND INFLUENCES 13
3.1 OVERVIEW OF HOUSEBUILDING MARKET 13
3.1.1 Market Size and Recent Trends 13
3.1.2 Market Mix by Superstructure Material 15
3.2 OFF-SITE HOUSEBUILDING MARKET 16
3.2.1 Recent Market Size and Trends 16
3.2.2 Market Prospects 18
3.3 MAIN INFLUENCES ON MARKET DEVELOPMENT 20
3.3.1 Availability of Quality Assurance for Off-Site Housing 20
3.3.2 Homes England Funding for Off-Site Housing 23
3.3.3 Affordable Housing Development 24
3.3.4 Growth in Off-Site Manufacturing Capacity 25
3.3.5 New Products to Market 27
3.3.6 Sustainability 28
3.3.7 Growth in Adoption of Building Information Modelling (BIM) 28
3.3.8 Growth in Build to Rent Development 30
3.3.9 Growth in Self/Custom Build 31
3.3.10 Shortages in Construction Skills 33
3.3.11 Build for Sale Housing Developers Business Models 34
4. TIMBER FRAME SYSTEMS 36
4.1 DEFINITION 36
4.2 MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 36
4.3 SUPPLY 39
5 STRUCTURAL INSULATED PANEL SYSTEMS (SIPS) 44
5.1 DEFINITION 44
5.2 MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 44
5.3 SUPPLY 45
6. LIGHT GAUGE STEEL FRAME SYSTEMS (LGSF) 48
6.1 DEFINITION 48
6.2 MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 48
6.2.1 Panellised Systems 48
6.2.2 Volumetric Modules 50
6.3 SUPPLY CHAIN 53
6.3.1 Light Gauge Steel Frame (LGSF) Panellised Systems 53
6.3.2 Light Gauge Steel Frame (LGFS) Volumetric Building Systems 56
7. CROSS LAMINATED TIMBER (CLT) AND GLUE LAMINATED TIMBER (GLULAM) 63
7.1 DEFINITION 63
7.2 MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 63
7.3 SUPPLY 64
7.3.1 CLT Manufacturers 64
7.3.2 UK Suppliers and Contractors 66
8. BATHROOM, BEDROOM & KITCHEN PODS 70
8.1 DEFINITION 70
8.2 MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 70
8.3 SUPPLY 72
8.3.1 UK Manufacturers 72
8.3.2 Imports 73
9. PRECAST CONCRETE OFF-SITE SYSTEMS 76
9.1 DEFINITION 76
9.2 SECTOR SIZE AND TRENDS 76
9.3 SUPPLY 77
10. DEVELOPERS USING OFF-SITE HOUSING SYSTEMS 80
10.1 DEFINITIONS AND MARKET STRUCTURE 80
10.2 PRIVATE HOUSING DEVELOPERS USING OFF-SITE BUILDING SYSTEMS 80
10.3 SOCIAL HOUSING PROVIDERS 86
10.4 PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPERS OTHER THAN TRADITIONAL HOUSEBUILDERS 93

TABLES & CHARTS

UK MARKET FOR OFF-SITE HOUSING SYSTEMS (£M MSP) 2017-2025 10
CHART 1: UK HOUSING CONSTRUCTION MARKET BY CONTRACTORS OUTPUT AND VOLUMES (NEWBUILD COMPLETIONS & CONVERSIONS – ‘000S) 2015/16 – 2024/2025 13
CHART 2: UK HOUSING NEWBUILD LEGAL COMPLETIONS 2015/16- 2024/25 14
CHART 3: UK MARKET FOR OFF-SITE HOUSING BY SUPERSTRUCTURE MATERIAL BY % OF COMPLETIONS 2020/21 15
CHART 4: MARKET FOR OFF-SITE HOUSING SYSTEMS (£M MSP) 2017-2025 16
TABLE 5: SUMMARY OF MARKET DRIVERS AND BARRIERS TO GROWTH FOR OFF-SITE HOUSING 19
TABLE 6: LARGEST MANUFACTURERS OF OFF-SITE SYSTEMS ACTIVE IN NEWBUILD HOUSING SECTOR BY 2019 OR 2020 TURNOVER 26
CHART 7: SELF-BUILD MARKET – COMPLETIONS BY VOLUME (NO. DWELLINGS) 2011-2019 32
CHART 8: UK NEWBUILD COMPLETIONS ESTIMATED MIX BY TENURE BY % OF COMPLETIONS 2020 35
CHART 9: UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSEBUILDING – ESTIMATED COMPLETIONS BY NUMBER OF DWELLINGS (‘000) 2011 – 2020 37
CHART 10: UK TIMBER FRAME HOUSING ESTIMATED COMPLETIONS BY SECTOR (SOCIAL, PRIVATE, SELF-BUILD) % BY VOLUME 2020 37
TABLE 11: OVERALL TIMBER FRAME MARKET – SHARES FOR MAJOR MANUFACTURERS AND MAIN SECTORS SUPPLIED 39
CHART 12: UK MARKET FOR VOLUMETRIC BUILDING SYSTEMS AND TEMPORARY ACCOMMODATION BY APPLICATION BY VALUE (MSP) 50
TABLE 13: MAJOR MANUFACTURERS OF LGSF PANELISED OFF-SITE BUILDING SYSTEMS 53
TABLE 14: LGSF VOLUMETRIC MODULAR BUILDING MANUFACTURERS OFFERING HOUSING SYSTEMS 58
TABLE 15: LEADING EUROPEAN MANUFACTURERS OF CROSS LAMINATED PANEL OFF-SITE BUILDING SYSTEMS – ANNUAL PRODUCTION CAPACITIES (M2) 2018 TO 2021 65
TABLE 16: UK SUPPLIERS OF CROSS LAMINATED TIMBER OFF-SITE BUILDING SYSTEMS 67
CHART 17: UK BATHROOM, BEDROOM AND KITCHEN PODS MARKET BY VALUE (£ MSP) & VOLUME (THOUSAND UNITS) 2016-2025 71
CHART 18: BATHROOM AND KITCHEN PODS – % MIX BY VOLUME BY END USER SECTOR 72
TABLE 19: LEADING HOUSEBUILDERS USING OFF-SITE HOUSING SYSTEMS 81
TABLE 20: LARGER HOUSING ASSOCIATIONS ACTIVE IN THE USE OF OFF-SITE HOUSING SYSTEMS 2020/21 87
TABLE 21: HOUSING ASSOCIATIONS WITH LARGEST 5-YEAR NEWBUILD PIPELINES 1 APRIL 2019 TO 31 MARCH 2024. 88
TABLE 22: PRIVATE SECTOR HOUSING DEVELOPERS USING OFF-SITE SYSTEMS 93

 

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