Utilities Construction: Gas and Electric Market Report UK 2021-2025 - AMA Research

Utilities Construction: Gas and Electric Market Report UK 2021-2025

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This report on Gas and Electricity Utilities Construction reviews in detail both renewable and non-renewable energy generation, distribution and storage. The report analyses the number, scale and location of projects for each energy source – including wind (onshore and offshore), solar, biomass, hydro, nuclear and gas.

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This is the 7th edition of AMA Research’s ‘Utilities Construction Report’, previous editions have covered all areas of the Utilities construction market; for this edition, the market is being covered in three separate reports, each addressing a sub-sector of the Utilities market: Gas and Electric; Telecoms and Water and Sewerage.
This report on Gas and Electricity Utilities Construction reviews in detail both renewable and non-renewable energy generation, distribution and storage. The report analyses the number, scale and location of projects for each energy source – including wind (onshore and offshore), solar, biomass, hydro, nuclear and gas.

Key Issues Covered in the Report

  • The report contains an overall assessment of the market, it’s dynamics and key influences as well as detailed information on project pipelines, regional analysis and profiles of key players in the market.
  • Analysis of planning applications and contract awards is drawn upon to provide forecasts for construction in each sub-sector through to 2025 along with commentary on market prospects.

Some of the Companies Featured:

EDF, RWE, SSE, Drax, Uniper, Intergen, EPH, Vitol, Orsted, ECP,

Areas of Particular Interest

  • It is particularly interesting to see how dominant projects relating to renewable sources of energy generation are in the project pipeline.
  • Looking back over the past five years, there has been a 70% increase in power generation from renewable sources. Looking forward over the next five years, 80% of projects, by value, are related to renewable sources of energy.

KEY AREAS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Market Overview

  • The energy market is a critical part of UK infrastructure with an emphasis now on energy security – gradually reducing our reliance on imports – alongside a push towards carbon neutrality. This puts focus on renewable ‘home-grown’ energy sources. In terms of project values, wind is seeing the greatest levels of investment, especially offshore, with investment clustered in North Sea regions. By number of projects, solar is seeing the majority of activity but with many small projects, UK wide.

Product Sectors

  • Construction projects in the gas and electric utilities market fall into three main groups, those relating to energy generation, energy distribution and energy storage. Of these energy generation is by far the largest at nearly £23bn, while distribution projects are closer to £1bn and storage currently half that.

Market Prospects

  • As the UK grows its proportion of energy output from renewable sources, such as wind and solar, and therefore has greater reliance these, it is necessary to manage the variability in their production. This increases the importance of storage, a trend that is clearly seen in the project pipeline with storage projects even in the first half of 2021 far outpacing previous years. These too are clustered in regions bordering the North Sea, in proximity to the energy generation sites.

The report contains an overall assessment of the market, its dynamics and key influences as well as detailed information on project pipelines, regional analysis and profiles of key players in the market. Analysis of planning applications and contract awards is drawn upon to provide forecasts for construction in each sub-sector through to 2025 along with commentary on market prospects.

The market is reviewed by energy generation, distribution and storage projects. Each energy generation source is assessed individually with regard to project pipelines and regionality.
This broad view across all projects currently active and planned in the energy market provides a detailed picture of the progress being made towards decarbonizing the energy sector.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

RESEARCH SERVICES OFFERED BY AMA RESEARCH 3
1. INTRODUCTION 9
1.1 CONTEXT 9
1.2 DEFINITION 9
1.3 ABBREVIATIONS 9
1.4 CONSTRUCTION AND PLANNING STAGE CATEGORIES USED FOR PROJECT DATA 10
2. MARKET SUMMARY 12
2.1 MARKET SIZE 12
2.2 MARKET OVERVIEW 12
2.2.1 Market Structure 13
2.2.2 Supply 15
2.2.3 Demand: Energy Consumption 18
3. MARKET INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 24
3.1 MAIN MARKET INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 24
3.2 POLITICAL INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 24
3.3 ECONOMIC INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 26
3.3.1 Contracts of Difference 26
3.3.2 Energy Prices 27
3.3.3 The Green Deal and The Energy Companies Obligation (ECO) 28
3.4 SOCIAL INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 30
3.4.1 Household estimates and projections in the UK 30
3.4.2 Smart Meters 31
3.4.3 Household Energy Efficiency 32
3.5 TECHNOLOGICAL INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 34
3.6 LEGAL INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 36
3.7 ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES AND DRIVERS 37
4. CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT IN THE END USE SECTORS 39
4.1. RESIDENTIAL SECTOR 40
4.2 NON-RESIDENTIAL SECTOR 40
4.2.1 Construction Output in Infrastructure 41
5. GAS AND ELECTRIC CONSTRUCTION MARKET 44
5.1 GENERATION 47
5.1.1 Wind: Onshore and Offshore 49
5.1.2 Solar 60
5.1.3 Biomass 65
5.1.4 Hydro 70
5.1.5 Nuclear 72
5.1.6 Gas 74
5.2 DISTRIBUTION 77
5.2.1 Contract Awards 77
5.2.2 Future Construction Pipeline 79
5.3 STORAGE 80
5.3.1 Contract Awards 81
5.3.2 Future Construction Pipeline 84
5.4 CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE IN ELECTRICITY AND GAS SECTOR 86
6. GAS AND ELECTRIC MARKET CONSTRUCTION FORECASTS 91
6.1 FORECASTS 92
6.2 MARKET PROSPECTS 93
APPENDICES 95
APPENDIX A: ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 95
A.1 OVERVIEW AND OUTLOOK 95
A.2 GDP 95
A.3 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 97
A.4 EMPLOYMENT & WAGES 97
A.5 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION 98
A.6 STERLING 99
A.7 TRADE & BUSINESS INVESTMENT 100

TABLES & CHARTS

CHART 1: UK ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY SOURCE 2020 16
CHART 2: UK ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY SOURCE: 2016-2020 17
CHART 3: UK NATURAL GAS SUPPLY: 2016-2020 18
TABLE 4: UK TOTAL INLAND PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTORS: 2018-2020 19
CHART 5: UK INLAND PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY CRUDE ENERGY: 2016-2020 20
CHART 6: UK ELECTRICITY DEMAND BY SECTOR 2020 21
CHART 7: UK NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION: 2016-2020 22
TABLE 8: UK NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION BY SECTORS: 2016-2020 23
CHART 9: UK FUEL PRICE INDICES FOR THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR IN CURRENT TERMS (EXCLUDING THE CLIMATE CHANGE LEVY) 2010 = 100, 2011 TO 2020 27
TABLE 10: HOUSEHOLD NUMBER ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS IN THE UK 31
TABLE 11: NON-DOMESTIC RHI SCHEME APPLICATIONS BY DATE OF FIRST SUBMISSION AND TECHNOLOGY TYPE IN GB 34
TABLE 12: DOMESTIC RHI SCHEME APPLICATIONS BY DATE OF FIRST SUBMISSION AND TECHNOLOGY TYPE IN GB 34
CHART 13: QUARTERLY CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT Q1 2019 TO Q3 2021 39
TABLE 14: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT (GB) 2016 TO 2020 BY VALUE (£BN) AND PERCENTAGE CHANGE 39
TABLE 15: RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT 40
TABLE 16: NON-RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT BY SECTOR AND VALUE (£BN), 2016 TO 2020 41
CHART 17: NON-RESIDENTIAL NEW CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT BY PERCENTAGE SHARE OF SECTORS: 2019-2020 42
CHART 18: SUB-SECTORS IN THE INFRASTRUCTURE NEW WORK 2019 TO 2020 43
TABLE 19: GAS AND ELECTRICITY CONSTRUCTION MARKET ANALYSIS CATEGORIES AND SOURCES 44
CHART 20: CONTRACTS AWARDED IN GENERATION, DISTRIBUTION AND STORAGE: 2016-2021(Q2) 45
CHART 21: CONTRACTS AWARDED IN GENERATION, DISTRIBUTION AND STORAGE BETWEEN 2016-2021(Q2) THAT WILL START ON OR AFTER 2021(Q3) 46
CHART 22: PROJECTS IN GENERATION, DISTRIBUTION AND STORAGE STARTING 2021(Q3)-2025 BY CONSTRUCTION PLANNING STAGES 46
CHART 23: CONTRACT AWARDS IN GENERATION BY ENERGY SOURCE: 2016-2021(Q2) 47
CHART 24: CONTRACT AWARDS IN GENERATION BY PERCENTAGE SHARE OF ENERGY SOURCES, BY VALUE: 2016-2021(Q2) 48
CHART 25: CONTRACT AWARDS IN GENERATION BY ENERGY SOURCE AND CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 49
CHART 26: CONTRACT AWARDS ON ENERGY GENERATION FROM WIND: 2016-2021(Q2) 50
TABLE 27: MAJOR CONTRACT AWARDS IN GENERATION FROM WIND: 2020-2021 51
CHART 28: ONSHORE WIND CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 52
CHART 29: ONSHORE WIND CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY REGION AND CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 53
CHART 30: OFFSHORE WIND CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 53
CHART 31: OFFSHORE WIND CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 54
CHART 32: ONSHORE WIND ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE BY START DATE: 2021(Q3)-2025 55
CHART 33: ONSHORE WIND ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE BY START DATE 2021(Q3)-2025 AND REGION 56
TABLE 34: MAJOR DETAIL PLANNING APPROVED PROJECTS FOR GENERATION FROM WIND TO START IN THE 2021-2025 PERIOD 57
CHART 35: OFFSHORE WIND ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025 58
CHART 36: OFFSHORE WIND ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025, BY REGIONS 59
CHART 37: SOLAR ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 60
CHART 38: SOLAR ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 61
CHART 39: SOLAR ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 62
CHART 40: SOLAR ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025 63
CHART 41: SOLAR ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY START DATE AND REGION: 2021(Q3)-2025 64
CHART 42: ENERGY FROM BIOMASS CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 66
CHART 43: ENERGY FROM BIOMASS CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 66
CHART 44: ENERGY FROM BIOMASS CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 67
CHART 45: ENERGY FROM BIOMASS PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025 68
CHART 46: ENERGY FROM BIOMASS PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE BY START DATE AND REGION: 2021(Q3)-2025 69
CHART 47: HYDRO ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 70
CHART 48: HYDRO ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE BY START DATE: 2021(Q3)-2025 71
CHART 49: NUCLEAR ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 72
CHART 50: NUCLEAR ENERGY CONTRACT AWARDS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 73
CHART 51: NUCLEAR ENERGY PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025 73
CHART 52: ENERGY FROM GAS CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 74
CHART 53: ENERGY FROM GAS CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 75
CHART 54: ENERGY FROM GAS FUTURE PIPELINE BY START DATE AND REGION: 2021(Q3)-2025 76
CHART 55: ENERGY DISTRIBUTION CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 77
CHART 56: ENERGY DISTRIBUTION CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 78
CHART 57: ENERGY DISTRIBUTION PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025 79
CHART 58: ENERGY DISTRIBUTION CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY START DATE AND REGION: 2021(Q3)-2025 80
CHART 59: ENERGY STORAGE CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY CONTRACT AWARD YEAR: 2016-2021(Q2) 81
CHART 60: ENERGY STORAGE CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 82
CHART 61: ENERGY STORAGE CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2021(Q2) 83
CHART 62: ENERGY STORAGE PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE: 2021(Q3)-2025 84
CHART 63: ENERGY STORAGE PROJECTS FUTURE PIPELINE START DATE AND REGION: 2021(Q3)-2025 85
CHART 64: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT FROM CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS DURING THE 2016-2025 PERIOD 86
CHART 65: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT FROM CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS IN ENERGY GENERATION DURING THE 2016-2025 PERIOD 87
CHART 66: CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS OUTPUT BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2025 88
TABLE 67: CONTRACT AWARDED PROJECTS OUTPUT BY YEAR AND REGION: 2016-2025 (£M) 88
CHART 68: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT FROM DETAIL PLANNING APPROVED PROJECTS DURING THE 2016-2025 PERIOD 89
CHART 69: CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT FROM CONTRACT AWARDED, TENDERED/PRE-TENDER AND DETAIL PLANNING APPROVED PROJECTS IN ENERGY GENERATION DURING THE 2016-2025 PERIOD 90
CHART 70: GB INFRASTRUCTURE NEW WORK CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT: 2010-2020 91
CHART 71: GB PERCENTAGE SHARE OF ELECTRICITY VS. WATER AND SEWERAGE IN INFRASTRUCTURE NEW WORK CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT: 2010-2020 92
CHART 72: GAS AND ELECTRICITY MARKET CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT AND FORECASTS 93
CHART A1: GROSS VALUE ADDED BY SECTOR 96
CHART A2: CPI INFLATION AND BANK OF ENGLAND BASE RATE 97
CHART A3: AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS BY SECTOR 98
CHART A4: DISPOSABLE INCOME PER CAPITA & SAVINGS RATIO 99
CHART A5: STERLING EXCHANGE RATES TO THE DOLLAR AND THE EURO 100
CHART A6: TRADE & BUSINESS INVESTMENT, 2019-2020 101

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